NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	98		Excitement	7.8 [281]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +54.8%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	1.5 [408]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -33.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.55	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.55	0.10	0.44	-0.01	20	60%	0.57	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.10	0.00	7	55%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Blake	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.14	-0.04	-0.12	-0.02	6	39%	-0.14	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	9	33%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.33	-0.05	-0.27	0.01	18	49%	0.01	4	-0.34	3	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	17	66%	0.16	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	67%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	9	40%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.06,0.1,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	0.05	23	48%	-0.02	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.11
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	14	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	27.6	15.7	30.4	2.5	33.2	134.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +69.9%

IND -33.3%

GSW +30.9%

IND -23.2%

GSW +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	IND	NBA	GSW	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.1	105.4	102.1	105.2
season	14.2	15.8		105.9	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		99.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.5	15.5	14.6	17.7	15.3
IND	15.9	16.4	14.8	15.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	39	40	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.73	3	-1	4	16.7	14.2	2.50	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Jermaine O'Neal	58	59	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-5	12	16.1	13.9	2.13	14.8	16.7	-1.88
Klay Thompson	82	82	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	0	2	15.0	17.4	-2.38	15.0	18.8	-3.78
Andre Iguodala	48	47	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	14.3	16.3	-2.02	15.4	15.7	-0.26
Steve Blake	33	32	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	-5	12	15.9	14.9	1.04	15.3	15.7	-0.38
Harrison Barnes	43	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	0	2	16.2	14.4	1.79	15.8	15.3	0.49
Andrew Bogut	45	44	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	3	-4	13.8	16.6	-2.76	16.5	14.7	1.86
Stephen Curry	62	63	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	9	-16	15.0	15.8	-0.81	15.6	15.5	0.12
Jordan Crawford	11	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	2	-2	17.4	15.0	2.38	18.8	15.0	3.78
David Lee	44	45	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.24	-5	7	-12	14.4	16.1	-1.67	15.9	15.2	0.68

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	68	67	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.34	9	-11	20	14.5	18.2	-3.68	14.8	16.5	-1.66
Lance Stephenson	73	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.33	8	-10	18	15.8	14.7	1.11	15.5	14.5	1.00
George Hill	68	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-9	16	15.5	15.7	-0.27	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Roy Hibbert	66	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.34	7	-9	16	15.5	15.6	-0.06	15.1	15.8	-0.69
Ian Mahinmi	28	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	7	-16	15.6	15.5	0.06	15.8	15.1	0.69
CJ Watson	26	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	7	-16	15.7	15.5	0.27	15.0	15.4	-0.31
Luis Scola	26	26	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	9	-20	18.2	14.5	3.68	16.5	14.8	1.66
Paul George	79	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-4	6	14.8	19.6	-4.84	15.3	14.9	0.40
Evan Turner	36	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	12	-26	16.7	14.8	1.93	15.0	15.4	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.33,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.28,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 92, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.19,0.45,0.32,0.42,0	92.9%
PHI 85, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.08,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.31,0.08,0	91.3%
MIN 103, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.14,0.29,0.33,0.26,0	91.1%