NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	85		Excitement	5.4 [750]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +21.8%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	3.1 [573]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): -14.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.05	0.02	11	85%	0.22	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Toure Murry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	21	61%	0.14	6	-0.14	4	50%	-0.03
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Tyler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	7	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	6	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.17	-0.01	-0.06	9	20%	-0.07	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	0.11	17	44%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	9	68%	0.15	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	16	44%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	46%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.01	0.07	10	62%	0.00	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	10	45%	0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	17	35%	-0.07	3	-0.05	9	56%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.7	27.7	15.0	26.0	2.6	39.2	136.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +15.7%

DET +2.5%

DET +26.3%

DET +5.2%

DET +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.1	89.5	98.0	105.2
season	16.0	15.0		106.4	104.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.4	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.8	15.6	17.1	14.2	14.8
DET	15.4	14.4	17.2	13.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toure Murry	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	15.0	14.8	0.17	17.0	15.0	2.01
Cole Aldrich	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	15.0	14.8	0.17	17.0	15.0	2.01
Jeremy Tyler	15	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-13	15	18.3	14.2	4.08	16.8	14.7	2.07
J.R. Smith	63	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-11	11	14.2	16.0	-1.76	14.4	16.3	-1.98
Pablo Prigioni	30	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-2	-7	16.0	14.3	1.71	16.3	14.4	1.91
Tim Hardaway Jr.	42	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-6	1	14.9	14.8	0.13	15.1	14.9	0.23
Iman Shumpert	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-1	-9	14.8	14.8	0.01	15.9	14.6	1.26
Amar'e Stoudemire	63	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-6	1	14.7	15.0	-0.30	15.5	14.1	1.34
Raymond Felton	64	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-6	1	14.3	16.0	-1.69	14.4	16.4	-1.97
Tyson Chandler	83	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	1	-13	15.3	11.3	4.00	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Carmelo Anthony	82	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	6	-23	14.2	18.9	-4.74	14.6	17.7	-3.09

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	93	90	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.15	13	-2	15	15.2	11.2	4.02	15.1	9.8	5.31
Greg Monroe	62	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	7	-3	15.7	13.9	1.82	15.5	13.7	1.81
Josh Smith	87	83	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	4	3	14.7	17.4	-2.65	14.5	17.4	-2.96
Rodney Stuckey	59	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	0	11	14.0	16.5	-2.45	14.4	15.4	-0.94
Will Bynum	38	38	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	3	5	14.2	15.5	-1.31	15.2	14.6	0.59
Brandon Jennings	60	57	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	8	-5	15.5	14.2	1.31	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	7	6	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	4	3	14.3	15.1	-0.78	13.3	14.9	-1.60
Jonas Jerebko	19	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	8	-5	15.9	14.8	1.10	15.9	14.5	1.35
Kyle Singler	65	65	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	12	-13	15.2	14.7	0.52	14.4	15.7	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	93.9%
NOH 98, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
BKN 89, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%