NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	98		Excitement	5.1 [815]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (MIN): +21.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Comeback	2.9 [220]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NOH): -10.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	-0.02	-0.06	18	56%	0.17	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	13	63%	0.13	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	100%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	11	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	8	53%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.07	0.05	12	92%	0.25	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	20	70%	0.23	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	45%	0.02	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	55%	0.06	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	32.2	15.8	25.3	2.6	33.2	135.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +52.6%

MIN +1.4%

NOH -2.7%

NOH -2.8%

MIN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIN	NBA	NOH	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	14.5	15.5	106.5	121.5	105.7
season	16.2	14.3		104.6	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.9		109.5	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.6	17.0	16.9	15.2	16.7
MIN	14.5	12.3	15.9	15.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	20	21	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.18	9	-24	33	14.7	17.2	-2.49	14.9	14.4	0.53
DJ Mbenga	4	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	9.5	17.0	-7.48	17.8	14.3	3.57
Quincy Pondexter	16	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-15	15	15.6	16.9	-1.24	16.0	14.1	1.89
Jarrett Jack	34	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-14	13	15.4	17.4	-1.92	13.7	15.0	-1.21
Marcus Thornton	39	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-14	13	15.9	17.2	-1.22	14.1	14.8	-0.75
Marco Belinelli	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	3	-21	17.0	16.0	0.99	14.4	14.7	-0.33
David West	71	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	-5	-5	17.7	13.2	4.49	14.6	14.1	0.50
Trevor Ariza	72	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	0	-15	16.9	15.6	1.28	14.7	13.8	0.89
Emeka Okafor	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.10	-21	6	-27	17.0	15.8	1.12	14.3	14.9	-0.50
Chris Paul	80	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.01	-19	4	-23	16.9	15.2	1.71	14.2	16.1	-1.84

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	86	88	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.02	16	-1	17	14.7	12.6	2.08	16.8	13.0	3.82
Nikola Pekovic	28	25	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	4	7	12.7	15.2	-2.50	15.6	17.1	-1.50
Kevin Love	78	78	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	2	11	14.6	14.1	0.51	17.2	13.8	3.38
Wesley Johnson	69	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	2	11	14.8	13.5	1.34	16.6	17.0	-0.41
Jonny Flynn	33	32	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	3	9	14.9	14.3	0.64	16.5	16.7	-0.23
Luke Ridnour	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	12	-9	14.3	14.9	-0.64	16.7	16.5	0.23
Darko Milicic	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	9	-3	15.1	14.1	0.97	17.6	16.0	1.62
Martell Webster	44	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	12	-9	14.9	14.1	0.79	16.0	17.2	-1.18
Corey Brewer	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.11	-1	16	-17	13.4	14.9	-1.53	16.1	16.9	-0.71
Kosta Koufos	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	12.7	14.6	-1.89	8.5	16.8	-8.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, NOP 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
PHX 87, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
NYK 99, BKN 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%