inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 87 Excitement5.8 [654] MVPDavid Lee (GSW): +6.1%
Golden State Warriors 106 Comeback3.4 [791] LVPGoran Dragic (PHX): -28.4%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandan Wright0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.01757%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Miles Plumlee0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Bledsoe0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.011157%0.114-0.10683%0.02
Isaiah Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.01-0.031345%0.062-0.063100%0.02
Zoran Dragic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Tyler Ennis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
TJ Warren0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.03844%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Markieff Morris-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.040.011650%0.012-0.06250%-0.01
PJ Tucker-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.00935%-0.061-0.03250%-0.01
Alex Len-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.04-0.0240%-0.063-0.0900%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.280,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.22-0.10-0.031531%-0.077-0.22250%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.03-0.02350%0.0600.00475%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.020.03955%0.0600.00475%-0.02
Stephen Curry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.04-0.00-0.002351%0.081-0.033100%0.02
Klay Thompson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.001763%0.165-0.121100%0.01
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.020.021164%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.010.07781%0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01540%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01941%-0.023-0.07475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.530.915.025.22.229.6128.4
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +39.4%
GSW +1.0%
PHX -16.4%
GSW +24.6%
GSW +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXGSWNBAPHXGSWNBA
this game14.613.815.185.3105.0104.2
season14.413.6103.7109.2
opponent15.515.099.7104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX13.014.716.314.714.6
GSW12.813.013.715.913.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Miles Plumlee12110.03-0.530.550.030-191913.714.7-0.9612.713.9-1.17
Zoran Dragic660.00-0.500.50-0.031-202112.714.7-2.0519.313.45.91
Tyler Ennis660.00-0.500.50-0.031-202112.714.7-2.0519.313.45.91
TJ Warren660.00-0.500.50-0.031-202112.714.7-2.0519.313.45.91
Marcus Morris4241-0.08-0.420.350.19-9-10114.614.60.0414.713.11.53
Gerald Green3028-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-161313.715.0-1.3213.214.0-0.82
Alex Len4242-0.18-0.320.15-0.09-3-161314.714.50.1213.214.2-0.96
Brandan Wright4039-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-181714.214.8-0.5714.213.50.62
PJ Tucker6768-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-7-514.913.91.0013.713.9-0.16
Isaiah Thomas5251-0.32-0.18-0.150.03-12-7-514.614.6-0.0013.813.70.06
Goran Dragic7272-0.41-0.09-0.320.03-15-4-1114.714.30.4213.514.4-0.85
Markieff Morris6565-0.42-0.08-0.330.08-17-2-1515.213.61.6213.414.5-1.09
Eric Bledsoe7070-0.570.07-0.650.19-267-3314.814.20.6013.015.6-2.61

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Curry79800.56-0.060.62-0.1123-42713.514.7-1.1614.514.9-0.40
Draymond Green78790.460.040.42-0.071811713.714.1-0.4614.515.0-0.46
Klay Thompson70700.450.050.40-0.111901913.314.9-1.6314.914.00.87
Andrew Bogut46480.400.100.310.05127513.314.2-0.8615.014.30.72
Harrison Barnes75770.310.190.13-0.07136713.514.5-1.0314.714.40.26
Andre Iguodala51500.230.27-0.030.06613-714.413.11.2914.514.7-0.23
Leandro Barbosa26250.170.33-0.16-0.03712-515.213.31.9114.714.60.11
David Lee47460.090.41-0.320.09019-1913.813.8-0.0114.314.9-0.61
Ognjen Kuzmic330.000.50-0.50-0.12415-1116.713.72.9815.714.61.10
Shaun Livingston2222-0.060.56-0.620.06-423-2714.713.51.1614.914.50.40
Justin Holiday810-0.120.62-0.74-0.03-322-2514.613.70.9312.814.8-1.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 70, CHI 830.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,194.6%
WAS 103, DAL 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.87,1,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,194.6%
OKC 89, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.98,193.9%