NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	6.1 [613]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +19.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	110		Comeback	5.4 [576]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (MEM): -9.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	19	67%	0.19	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	78%	0.15	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Bennett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.10	-0.01	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.00	17	64%	0.24	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.08	0.03	14	69%	0.22	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	-0.01	0.06	11	86%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	14	65%	0.10	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.08
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.5	26.5	15.5	29.2	2.5	28.4	126.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.1%

CLE -1.9%

MEM +0.0%

MEM +19.2%

MEM +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.1	107.9	123.6	105.2
season	15.2	16.4		102.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		103.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.7	14.8	19.7	16.7	15.8
MEM	16.1	15.9	13.9	21.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Bennett	17	17	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-18	22	14.2	16.1	-1.89	16.0	16.7	-0.74
Alonzo Gee	25	25	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-18	22	15.2	16.0	-0.78	16.6	16.6	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-13	12	15.6	15.9	-0.26	15.4	17.5	-2.08
Tristan Thompson	56	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-3	-8	15.2	16.6	-1.39	17.1	15.8	1.26
Tyler Zeller	45	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-10	6	16.9	14.6	2.23	15.6	17.7	-2.09
Kyrie Irving	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-4	-6	15.6	16.4	-0.79	17.0	14.2	2.77
Jarrett Jack	64	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.01	-17	3	-20	16.0	15.2	0.84	16.8	16.0	0.80
Spencer Hawes	60	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	3	-20	15.8	15.6	0.26	17.1	15.5	1.55
Luol Deng	64	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	4	-22	16.0	15.2	0.78	16.6	16.6	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	67	69	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.03	23	-9	32	16.6	16.5	0.07	16.3	14.0	2.28
Mike Conley	69	70	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.00	23	-9	32	16.5	17.0	-0.59	16.3	13.8	2.51
Marc Gasol	72	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-5	24	17.0	14.9	2.12	16.0	14.8	1.16
Tayshaun Prince	61	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.02	18	-4	22	16.2	17.5	-1.37	15.7	15.8	-0.04
Courtney Lee	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	-1	16	18.3	13.3	4.97	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Tony Allen	45	45	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	12	-10	15.8	17.4	-1.65	16.9	14.6	2.23
James Johnson	15	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	20	-26	13.5	17.2	-3.68	12.6	16.3	-3.70
Kosta Koufos	24	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	22	-30	17.2	16.4	0.90	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Mike Miller	13	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	21	-28	13.8	17.1	-3.22	12.4	16.4	-3.96
Nick Calathes	20	19	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	23	-32	17.0	16.5	0.59	13.8	16.3	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.62,0.9,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
LAC 90, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	92.6%
DET 85, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.3%