NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	6.1 [602]		MVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): +23.2%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	3.8 [283]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -12.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.07	0.01	15	73%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	7	70%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Elton Brand	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	19	55%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	76%	0.13	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Paul Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.06
Sam Cassell	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	13	39%	-0.01	2	-0.07	7	43%	-0.03
Quinton Ross	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.06	0.03	6	76%	0.16	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.03	0.04	12	74%	0.18	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	11	54%	0.16	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	80%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.12	2	-0.06	16	81%	0.04
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.03	-0.07	14	45%	0.09	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.4	16.8	25.2	2.4	33.6	135.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +13.2%

NYK +26.7%

LAC -8.1%

NYK +16.6%

NYK +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.4	101.1	112.1	104.5
season	15.7	15.7		103.3	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		106.7	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	16.1	17.5	15.7	15.9
NYK	14.4	17.4	15.2	17.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	6	6	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-18	24	14.8	16.0	-1.12	15.0	16.2	-1.20
Paul Davis	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	6.5	16.1	-9.59	14.5	16.2	-1.66
Corey Maggette	30	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-11	10	16.9	15.4	1.54	17.4	15.5	1.92
Chris Kaman	46	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-10	8	15.9	15.8	0.12	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Shaun Livingston	52	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-10	8	16.0	15.8	0.20	17.0	14.7	2.27
Doug Christie	40	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-7	2	15.8	15.9	-0.14	16.8	15.6	1.20
Quinton Ross	29	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-9	6	15.6	16.0	-0.38	15.0	16.7	-1.70
Elton Brand	77	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-1	-10	15.6	17.5	-1.88	15.7	18.9	-3.22
Tim Thomas	56	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	1	-14	16.2	15.3	0.96	16.7	15.0	1.75
Cuttino Mobley	56	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	0	-12	15.6	16.3	-0.73	15.6	17.0	-1.36
Sam Cassell	51	51	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	8	-28	16.1	15.6	0.57	15.4	17.0	-1.61

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	68	66	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.10	21	-9	30	15.9	16.8	-0.94	16.1	15.3	0.71
Jamal Crawford	82	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-3	18	16.3	14.1	2.23	16.1	14.0	2.06
Quentin Richardson	75	73	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-2	16	15.4	19.3	-3.87	15.7	16.8	-1.14
Eddy Curry	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-2	16	15.8	17.9	-2.14	15.9	15.5	0.49
Stephon Marbury	71	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-4	20	15.6	18.0	-2.41	15.9	15.8	0.04
Mardy Collins	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	14.5	16.2	-1.66	6.5	16.1	-9.59
Nate Robinson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	14.5	16.2	-1.66	6.5	16.1	-9.59
Jared Jeffries	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	13	-14	17.1	16.0	1.10	17.5	15.7	1.80
Channing Frye	38	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	15	-18	17.9	14.9	3.00	16.2	15.6	0.58
Renaldo Balkman	15	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	15	-18	18.1	15.7	2.33	16.8	15.7	1.08
Jerome James	14	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	19	-26	17.0	16.0	1.04	14.2	16.2	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1	92.8%
DAL 85, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	92.7%
CLE 96, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.62,0.9,0.98,1,1	92.6%