inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 83 Excitement4.0 [1014] MVPJimmy Butler (CHI): +8.6%
Chicago Bulls 103 Comeback1.8 [418] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -17.2%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal0.050,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.01575%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Klay Thompson0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.01-0.00850%0.0100.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hilton Armstrong0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00643%-0.0000.002100%0.00
David Lee-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.011141%0.042-0.05560%-0.01
Harrison Barnes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.001046%0.011-0.024100%0.00
Draymond Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.0550%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.030,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.01580%0.074-0.1100%0.00
Jordan Crawford-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.04-0.000.091064%-0.013-0.045100%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.00-0.02825%-0.051-0.02475%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.170,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.04-0.041025%-0.045-0.1300%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.01-0.011062%0.111-0.02683%0.02
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.001162%0.092-0.022100%0.01
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.01555%0.0500.001100%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.031362%0.043-0.02887%0.01
Tornike Shengelia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erik Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02843%0.011-0.01560%-0.02
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.031158%0.042-0.05475%-0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02638%-0.021-0.001100%0.01
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01753%0.012-0.0210%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.00-0.011036%-0.064-0.052100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.428.615.728.12.727.2132.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +13.4%
CHI +8.5%
CHI +6.5%
CHI +16.3%
CHI +5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWCHINBAGSWCHINBA
this game13.416.515.186.5106.2105.2
season14.216.3105.9101.1
opponent15.315.399.6102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.914.512.612.513.4
CHI16.014.916.918.016.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hilton Armstrong13130.00-0.500.50-0.238-283612.513.5-1.0618.216.22.05
Marreese Speights1718-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-283612.413.6-1.1717.716.21.49
Andrew Bogut4848-0.05-0.450.41-0.102-222413.912.91.0415.717.1-1.39
Andre Iguodala4445-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-212213.613.20.4015.217.5-2.26
Harrison Barnes4649-0.15-0.350.19-0.10-2-181613.513.20.2817.215.71.48
Stephen Curry5958-0.16-0.340.180.19-12-8-413.313.5-0.1416.316.7-0.44
Jermaine O'Neal3433-0.23-0.270.050.07-10-10013.113.5-0.4916.316.5-0.23
Draymond Green2830-0.28-0.22-0.060.31-200-2013.013.5-0.5316.816.30.50
Klay Thompson5048-0.35-0.15-0.190.18-18-2-1613.213.5-0.2815.717.2-1.48
Jordan Crawford4849-0.36-0.14-0.230.13-17-3-1413.213.6-0.3717.215.71.48
David Lee4142-0.42-0.08-0.340.13-19-1-1814.312.71.5615.517.2-1.77
Steve Blake5252-0.43-0.07-0.360.19-211-2213.213.6-0.4017.515.22.26

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Dunleavy73740.54-0.040.59-0.3330-104016.516.5-0.0113.413.30.07
Taj Gibson53530.400.100.30-0.182002017.015.81.2514.112.51.56
D.J. Augustin45440.340.160.18-0.131641217.515.61.9313.513.20.27
Jimmy Butler73720.250.250.00-0.251731416.516.30.2213.612.70.89
Joakim Noah65640.220.28-0.05-0.301821616.516.40.1213.712.71.03
Carlos Boozer51510.220.28-0.05-0.01812-415.917.1-1.2013.013.8-0.76
Tony Snell37360.200.30-0.090.17119-1816.116.7-0.5613.813.10.73
Kirk Hinrich52520.160.34-0.180.04416-1215.617.5-1.9313.213.5-0.27
Nazr Mohammed20190.150.35-0.200.21-222-2416.616.40.2512.113.7-1.58
Tornike Shengelia550.000.50-0.500.12-424-2815.016.5-1.5310.013.6-3.56
Erik Murphy11100.000.50-0.500.23-828-3617.316.30.9210.013.8-3.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 90, MIN 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
SAC 83, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
ORL 92, POR 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%