NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	3.6 [1081]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +20.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	1.5 [657]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -19.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.02	9	95%	0.18	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	5	71%	0.00	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	33%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	-0.08	6	17%	-0.04	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	0.00	13	23%	-0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.24	0.02	0.05	8	116%	0.22	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.03	-0.02	14	66%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	16	64%	0.10	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	30%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	9	40%	0.00	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	13	40%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	26.4	15.5	25.3	2.4	26.5	121.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.5%

MIN +9.4%

ATL -3.7%

MIN +11.4%

MIN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	14.8	96.8	109.5	107.7
season	14.4	15.3		104.2	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.9		110.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	13.2	14.6	14.5	14.5
MIN	17.4	16.3	14.8	16.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-25	36	15.7	14.3	1.41	16.7	16.0	0.75
Taurean Prince	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-27	40	15.1	14.4	0.74	17.0	15.9	1.12
Mike Scott	35	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-21	28	14.5	14.5	-0.05	14.9	16.8	-1.89
Kris Humphries	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.36	12	-26	38	13.6	14.8	-1.22	16.4	16.0	0.40
Thabo Sefolosha	38	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-12	10	14.4	14.6	-0.12	17.1	15.3	1.85
Malcolm Delaney	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-5	-4	13.4	15.5	-2.06	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Kent Bazemore	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.12	-11	-3	-8	15.3	13.7	1.60	16.2	16.0	0.18
DeAndre' Bembry	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-14	14	14.5	14.5	0.02	15.8	16.3	-0.53
Dwight Howard	40	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-5	-4	14.8	14.3	0.59	16.4	15.9	0.54
Paul Millsap	50	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.20	-18	4	-22	13.9	15.3	-1.42	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Kyle Korver	48	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.37	-24	10	-34	13.8	15.3	-1.50	15.2	16.9	-1.72
Dennis Schroder	49	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	1	-16	15.2	13.7	1.50	16.8	15.3	1.51
Mike Muscala	34	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.31	-25	11	-36	15.6	13.9	1.78	17.5	15.4	2.15

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	61	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	-13	40	16.4	15.6	0.81	14.6	14.3	0.35
Gorgui Dieng	70	69	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.31	27	-13	40	15.6	17.4	-1.76	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Karl-Anthony Towns	57	57	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	1	12	17.2	14.5	2.63	15.3	13.3	1.93
Andrew Wiggins	54	53	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.18	16	-2	18	16.4	15.7	0.70	14.8	14.1	0.77
Ricky Rubio	44	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	-3	20	17.2	15.2	2.05	15.5	13.7	1.81
Kris Dunn	51	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	17	-20	15.2	17.2	-2.05	13.7	15.5	-1.81
Nemanja Bjelica	52	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	18	-22	15.7	16.7	-1.00	13.9	15.2	-1.25
Shabazz Muhammad	60	60	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.30	-4	18	-22	15.4	17.3	-1.96	13.8	15.8	-1.97
Tyus Jones	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	25	-36	16.7	16.0	0.75	15.7	14.3	1.41
Jordan Hill	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	22	-30	15.7	16.2	-0.43	15.5	14.4	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 83, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NYK 68, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ORL 92, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%