NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	93		Excitement	9.3 [116]		MVP	Nene (WAS): +68.6%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	6.3 [294]		LVP	Brian Roberts (NOP): -28.1%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.40	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.4	0.15	0.27	0.01	18	65%	0.40	0	0.00	4	100%	0.15
Anthony Morrow	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.19	0.17	0.00	8	100%	0.36	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	5	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	9	43%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Eric Gordon	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.05	-0.00	10	43%	0.09	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.07
Jeff Withey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Greg Stiemsma	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	8	47%	0.01	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28	-0.18	-0.12	-0.02	13	23%	-0.19	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.69	0.69	0.10	0.61	0.02	19	68%	0.80	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.09
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.13	-0.02	9	63%	0.26	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,0.13	0.13	-0.10	0.21	-0.01	9	48%	0.25	5	-0.12	3	67%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	9	64%	0.16	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.17	-0.00	5	40%	-0.11	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	29.2	15.6	25.3	1.7	39.3	138.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +97.1%

NOP -48.3%

WAS +3.1%

NOP -9.4%

WAS +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	WAS	NBA	NOP	WAS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	15.1	98.9	101.1	105.2
season	15.5	15.1		105.6	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.7	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.0	15.8	15.6	17.5	16.2
WAS	12.8	17.8	14.4	13.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	46	46	0.65	-1.15	1.80	0.33	11	-12	23	16.1	16.4	-0.29	15.8	13.3	2.51
Austin Rivers	30	30	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.09	12	-13	25	16.2	16.2	-0.07	16.1	13.8	2.29
Tyreke Evans	47	46	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.10	9	-10	19	16.0	16.4	-0.43	16.3	12.9	3.50
Luke Babbitt	12	12	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.19	3	-4	7	15.9	16.3	-0.34	18.7	14.0	4.69
Alexis Ajinca	50	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-4	7	17.2	15.1	2.07	15.7	13.4	2.24
Greg Stiemsma	31	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	4	-9	16.5	16.1	0.40	12.9	15.5	-2.60
Jeff Withey	28	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.49	8	-9	17	15.2	16.7	-1.47	13.8	14.9	-1.13
Anthony Davis	67	67	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.56	-11	10	-21	15.9	17.1	-1.26	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Al-Farouq Aminu	42	41	-0.95	0.45	-1.41	-0.72	-8	7	-15	16.3	16.2	0.09	13.3	15.6	-2.35
Brian Roberts	57	57	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.59	-13	12	-25	16.7	15.4	1.33	13.5	16.2	-2.72
Eric Gordon	60	59	-1.03	0.53	-1.56	-0.62	-14	13	-27	16.0	16.6	-0.63	13.4	16.7	-3.35

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	62	62	1.23	-0.73	1.97	0.88	12	-11	23	13.7	16.3	-2.61	16.0	16.6	-0.53
John Wall	65	65	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.72	8	-7	15	13.6	16.8	-3.15	15.5	17.9	-2.44
Nene	65	66	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.53	14	-13	27	14.2	15.4	-1.16	16.2	16.1	0.10
Trevor Ariza	70	70	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.60	6	-5	11	13.7	17.2	-3.50	15.2	19.1	-3.85
Bradley Beal	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	-3	7	14.6	14.4	0.26	16.6	15.0	1.58
Al Harrington	1	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	0	1	9.0	14.6	-5.64	1.0	16.4	-15.38
Trevor Booker	28	28	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.06	-13	14	-27	15.4	14.2	1.16	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Andre Miller	28	29	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.25	-7	8	-15	16.8	13.6	3.15	17.9	15.5	2.44
Kevin Seraphin	30	31	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.18	-10	11	-21	16.6	13.6	2.93	17.1	15.8	1.27
Martell Webster	44	46	-0.63	1.13	-1.77	-0.34	-10	11	-21	15.9	13.4	2.44	17.1	15.3	1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.43,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.42,1	91.0%
ORL 96, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.82,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.21,0.33,0.27,1	90.3%
BOS 87, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.11,0.23,0.16,1	90.1%