NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	11.7 [29]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +54.3%
Denver Nuggets	107		Comeback	78.4 [16]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (DEN): -43.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.54	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.43,0.54	0.23	0.32	0.00	22	69%	0.56	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.12
PJ Tucker	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	8	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.06
Ish Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Alex Len	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	11	43%	0.15	3	-0.21	8	62%	-0.03
Goran Dragic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	15	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	12	67%	-0.08
Miles Plumlee	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.22	0.02	-0.25	-0.00	9	61%	0.03	2	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.02	6	67%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.05	-0.02	19	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.05
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	15	54%	0.11	2	-0.13	9	78%	-0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	12	37%	0.09	3	-0.20	6	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	11	33%	-0.03	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.43	-0.43	-0.05	-0.37	0.01	15	39%	-0.31	1	-0.12	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	29.8	15.6	25.7	2.3	36.1	1.7	23.0	162.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.6%

PHX +0.5%

PHX +0.4%

DEN -2.4%

DEN -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	13.9	15.1	15.1	101.8	97.3	105.2
season	14.7	14.0		107.7	104.5
opponent	14.9	14.9		106.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	11.7	14.1	15.0	17.4	10.2	13.9
DEN	15.5	15.2	15.0	16.9	11.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	61	62	1.17	-0.67	1.85	0.35	28	-23	51	13.2	14.7	-1.51	15.5	14.4	1.09
Channing Frye	66	65	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.50	15	-10	25	13.3	14.7	-1.45	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Goran Dragic	88	88	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.31	19	-14	33	13.6	14.8	-1.15	15.2	14.3	0.92
Markieff Morris	82	83	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.50	9	-4	13	14.7	11.4	3.25	15.8	12.7	3.07
PJ Tucker	78	78	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-6	17	13.0	15.9	-2.85	15.1	15.0	0.03
Alex Len	20	20	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.14	-11	16	-27	14.3	13.8	0.54	14.0	15.3	-1.23
Miles Plumlee	45	45	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.24	-1	6	-7	13.6	14.0	-0.47	15.3	14.9	0.47
Ish Smith	20	21	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.05	-14	19	-33	14.8	13.6	1.22	14.6	15.2	-0.60
Marcus Morris	51	51	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.12	-10	15	-25	15.1	12.8	2.35	14.4	15.6	-1.27
Leandro Barbosa	39	37	-0.54	1.04	-1.59	0.07	-21	26	-47	14.3	13.6	0.62	13.6	15.8	-2.12

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	40	41	0.53	-1.03	1.56	-0.17	24	-29	53	13.5	15.9	-2.44	14.7	13.4	1.28
Anthony Randolph	52	50	0.44	-0.94	1.38	-0.00	15	-20	35	14.1	15.9	-1.78	14.2	13.6	0.63
Darrell Arthur	39	38	0.39	-0.89	1.28	-0.05	15	-20	35	14.5	15.4	-0.92	14.4	13.5	0.91
Evan Fournier	69	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.51	13	-18	31	14.4	16.1	-1.74	14.4	13.0	1.38
Jordan Hamilton	56	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	3	-11	15.1	15.0	0.14	12.4	15.3	-2.90
Kenneth Faried	72	73	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.36	-15	10	-25	15.7	13.8	1.85	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Wilson Chandler	75	75	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.22	-21	16	-37	15.3	14.5	0.83	13.9	13.7	0.29
Randy Foye	80	82	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.42	-18	13	-31	15.6	13.5	2.09	13.9	13.6	0.28
JJ Hickson	67	67	-1.02	0.52	-1.53	-0.14	-30	25	-55	16.0	13.6	2.42	13.3	14.7	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.22,0.12,0.19,0.32,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.96,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.43,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.53,0.59,0.83,0.69,0.63,0.89,0.9,1	88.1%
MEM 109, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.32,0.42,0.26,0.32,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.35,0.16,0	87.3%
POR 80, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.66,0.81,0.71,0.86,0.99,1	87.3%