NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	109		Excitement	8.7 [155]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +43.9%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	42.1 [20]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (TOR): -28.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.32,0.39,0.44	0.15	0.29	-0.01	17	66%	0.45	1	-0.01	10	80%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0.35	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	-0.02	0.33	-0.03	23	45%	0.39	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Mike Conley	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	12	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	55%	0.06	1	-0.01	10	60%	-0.05
Darrell Arthur	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.06	0.02	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.03	14	69%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.02	22	59%	0.19	0	0.00	10	100%	0.11
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	5	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.13	-0.01	7	44%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	10	55%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	19	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jarrett Jack	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	5	8%	-0.19	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	33.4	16.7	25.1	2.7	42.0	2.6	12.3	162.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +68.8%

TOR -5.8%

TOR -2.0%

TOR -8.4%

TOR -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	TOR	NBA	MEM	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	15.7	15.3	110.1	103.0	106.0
season	15.4	15.0		106.8	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.0		111.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	15.3	17.4	16.7	16.9	14.9	16.4
TOR	16.8	14.7	14.7	15.8	18.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	75	76	1.10	-0.60	1.70	0.25	29	-22	51	15.5	19.1	-3.55	16.5	13.3	3.21
O.J. Mayo	86	86	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-11	29	16.1	18.4	-2.29	15.9	14.4	1.55
Rudy Gay	87	87	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.19	19	-12	31	16.0	19.0	-2.97	16.2	12.4	3.77
Zach Randolph	87	88	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-4	15	16.4	16.5	-0.12	15.9	14.3	1.64
Marc Gasol	74	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.05	18	-11	29	15.7	18.4	-2.63	16.0	15.0	1.05
DeMarre Carroll	8	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	14	-21	19.9	16.1	3.79	12.2	16.0	-3.78
Sam Young	18	17	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.10	-16	23	-39	18.8	15.9	2.98	14.0	16.1	-2.09
Marcus Williams	24	23	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	0.05	-22	29	-51	19.1	15.5	3.55	13.3	16.5	-3.21
Darrell Arthur	27	29	-0.67	1.17	-1.83	-0.02	-22	29	-51	18.2	15.7	2.51	13.6	16.6	-2.98

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	30	33	0.65	-1.15	1.80	-0.14	27	-34	61	13.6	16.7	-3.05	19.3	15.0	4.32
Sonny Weems	49	50	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.33	18	-25	43	15.4	16.1	-0.67	17.4	15.3	2.07
Reggie Evans	8	8	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-10	13	15.0	15.8	-0.79	15.5	16.5	-0.97
Jose Calderon	62	64	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.48	18	-25	43	15.6	15.9	-0.35	16.9	15.5	1.45
Antoine Wright	49	49	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.40	15	-22	37	15.5	16.0	-0.51	17.0	15.8	1.24
DeMar DeRozan	44	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	11	-29	15.4	16.0	-0.61	15.7	16.9	-1.23
Jarrett Jack	37	35	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.18	-25	18	-43	15.9	15.6	0.35	15.5	16.9	-1.45
Hedo Turkoglu	56	56	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	0.04	-29	22	-51	16.5	14.7	1.82	15.5	17.6	-2.14
Chris Bosh	84	82	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.22	-22	15	-37	16.2	13.1	3.06	15.9	18.9	-3.00
Andrea Bargnani	76	75	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.24	-22	15	-37	16.1	14.4	1.74	15.8	18.3	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.32,0.42,0.26,0.32,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.35,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 112, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.22,0.12,0.19,0.32,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.96,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.43,0.41,0	87.3%
PHX 112, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.92,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.32,0.08,0	87.2%
WAS 86, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.77,0.69,0.9,0.94,1,1	87.2%