NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	7.2 [411]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (ATL): +46.5%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	5.1 [456]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): -14.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	14	72%	0.14	2	-0.08	15	100%	0.13
Wally Szczerbiak	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	7	57%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	13	57%	0.10	2	-0.09	4	25%	-0.02
Anthony Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	7	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	16	49%	-0.03	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	4	30%	-0.08	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	8	12%	-0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.43,0.47	0.47	0.17	0.29	-0.00	12	82%	0.47	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	10	82%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	83%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Jason Collier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	12	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	13	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	13	31%	-0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	2.2	27.5	16.7	26.3	2.5	32.5	127.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +48.1%

MIN -9.0%

MIN -4.7%

ATL +14.0%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ATL	NBA	MIN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	15.5	104.3	111.7	104.0
season	15.8	15.6		106.2	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.9		108.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.1	16.1	14.4	14.8	15.1
ATL	16.2	14.6	15.6	15.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	73	74	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.33	13	-20	33	14.7	16.3	-1.56	16.1	13.4	2.69
Trenton Hassell	65	65	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.21	9	-16	25	14.8	15.6	-0.74	15.9	14.9	1.01
Troy Hudson	50	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-12	17	14.9	15.3	-0.37	16.1	14.9	1.21
Latrell Sprewell	70	69	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-9	11	14.9	15.5	-0.52	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Anthony Carter	6	6	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	17.2	14.9	2.23	13.5	15.7	-2.20
Michael Olowokandi	75	76	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.23	0	-7	7	14.7	16.5	-1.82	15.7	15.1	0.56
John Thomas	19	18	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	0	-7	16.5	14.7	1.82	15.1	15.7	-0.56
Sam Cassell	44	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	5	-17	15.3	14.9	0.37	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Eddie Griffin	21	20	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	13	-33	16.3	14.7	1.56	13.4	16.1	-2.69
Wally Szczerbiak	47	48	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.14	-20	13	-33	15.3	14.8	0.49	15.6	15.5	0.13

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	66	66	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.28	20	-13	33	14.6	17.8	-3.16	15.2	14.9	0.26
Tony Delk	60	59	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.21	16	-9	25	15.5	15.7	-0.22	14.6	15.9	-1.34
Royal Ivey	36	37	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	-12	31	14.9	16.0	-1.05	15.8	14.6	1.17
Boris Diaw	17	17	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	-5	17	14.6	15.8	-1.19	15.2	15.0	0.20
Michael Stewart	33	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-2	11	15.8	15.4	0.44	15.3	14.9	0.34
Josh Smith	73	73	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	4	-1	15.0	17.5	-2.52	15.0	15.3	-0.27
Donta Smith	11	11	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	3	1	15.4	15.6	-0.23	15.8	15.0	0.84
Tyronn Lue	57	55	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.36	-12	19	-31	16.2	14.6	1.51	15.1	15.1	0.04
Josh Childress	62	62	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.30	-11	18	-29	15.8	15.2	0.62	14.4	16.3	-1.92
Tom Gugliotta	33	32	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.11	-11	18	-29	16.5	15.0	1.47	15.8	14.7	1.17
Jason Collier	22	23	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	0.03	-14	21	-35	18.4	14.7	3.71	15.0	15.1	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.53,0.59,0.83,0.69,0.63,0.89,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.9,0.92,0.87,1	91.4%
VAN 91, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	91.2%
CHA 91, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.82,0.85,0.72,0.85,1,1	91.1%