inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 112 Excitement9.5 [100] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +125.2%
Houston Rockets 113 Comeback9.7 [192] LVPTerrence Jones (HOU): -18.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Wall0.390,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0.390.020.36-0.001943%0.3900.00683%0.10
Trevor Ariza0.130,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.130.24-0.050.062080%0.172-0.0400%0.00
Nene0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.090.070.010.001264%0.222-0.13933%-0.07
Trevor Booker0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.003100%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.040.010.030.00650%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jan Vesely-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Martell Webster-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00740%-0.021-0.0210%-0.01
Otto Porter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Bradley Beal-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.04-0.032442%0.032-0.0900%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,1.251.250.221.060.031480%1.334-0.0816100%0.20
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.00479%0.091-0.02667%-0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00462%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.04-0.02971%0.247-0.241662%-0.06
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02-0.020.01-0.03-0.001553%0.022-0.04450%-0.04
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.050.00880%0.175-0.19475%-0.01
Omer Asik0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0210%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.08-0.12-0.01727%-0.042-0.1510%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.70.835.215.627.42.638.2146.5
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +86.7%
HOU +7.9%
HOU +4.6%
WAS -54.1%
HOU +5.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASHOUNBAWASHOUNBA
this game15.113.715.1110.9114.1105.2
season15.114.3103.8109.5
opponent15.215.5105.4102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.715.715.114.915.1
HOU15.313.712.613.313.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Otto Porter16150.18-0.680.87-0.027-81513.115.5-2.3510.514.3-3.80
Jan Vesely1190.15-0.650.81-0.088-91718.314.73.5616.013.52.54
Nene61620.14-0.640.780.31-65-1115.414.60.8713.913.40.45
Martell Webster20180.05-0.550.59-0.012-3517.114.62.5014.813.41.40
Trevor Booker4239-0.10-0.400.29-0.255-61115.015.2-0.2113.813.60.22
Marcin Gortat5962-0.19-0.310.110.04-87-1514.715.6-0.8912.915.1-2.18
Kevin Seraphin2725-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.430-1115.015.1-0.1414.813.31.49
Trevor Ariza8787-0.530.03-0.55-0.32-76-1315.015.8-0.8013.812.71.16
Bradley Beal7474-0.570.07-0.64-0.51-21-315.613.71.9014.311.92.42
John Wall8987-0.580.08-0.66-0.40-65-1114.718.3-3.6713.415.5-2.06
Garrett Temple1917-0.620.12-0.73-0.672-3513.815.4-1.5512.414.0-1.54

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard78810.81-0.311.110.3416-153113.016.2-3.2414.915.8-0.87
Chandler Parsons75750.79-0.291.080.3216-153113.913.00.8515.912.83.14
Francisco Garcia38430.69-0.190.871.01-1112-2313.813.60.2113.716.1-2.36
James Harden85860.420.080.340.4201-113.415.1-1.7014.817.0-2.23
Jeremy Lin77790.390.110.290.3610113.414.8-1.4014.915.8-0.92
Aaron Brooks22220.110.39-0.290.1101-114.813.41.4015.814.90.92
Donatas Motiejunas3537-0.080.58-0.650.04-45-913.114.0-0.9715.614.80.78
Omer Asik2120-0.310.81-1.110.13-1516-3116.213.03.2415.814.90.87
Terrence Jones6462-0.320.82-1.14-0.382-1314.013.10.9715.214.90.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.72,0.34,0.28,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 85, HOU 890.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.72,0.57,0.58,190.9%
CLE 90, IND 910.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.23,0.41,189.0%
POR 117, TOR 1190.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.37,0.55,0.17,188.8%