NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	7.3 [357]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +23.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	110		Comeback	1.5 [1073]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (WAS): -16.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	15	56%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.05
Marcin Gortat	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	12	63%	0.13	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Nene	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.06	-0.02	15	45%	0.10	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Otto Porter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	8	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Trevor Ariza	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	16	39%	-0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.15	-0.00	11	77%	0.36	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.01	12	58%	0.19	2	-0.07	12	92%	0.05
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	9	67%	0.21	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.06
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	5	70%	0.16	2	-0.06	10	60%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.04	20	60%	0.16	6	-0.17	8	62%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.7	32.4	15.4	23.6	2.5	35.6	139.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +25.3%

LAC +33.6%

WAS -8.3%

WAS -4.6%

LAC +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	15.1	100.0	107.8	105.2
season	15.1	14.3		103.8	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.3	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.9	15.3	12.5	15.0	14.2
LAC	11.8	11.3	18.8	14.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	7.0	14.3	-7.31	1.0	14.0	-12.98
Trevor Booker	39	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-13	19	12.0	15.6	-3.57	14.6	13.4	1.24
Marcin Gortat	48	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-5	3	14.2	14.3	-0.10	14.5	13.2	1.31
Martell Webster	58	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	15.0	13.3	1.69	13.6	14.2	-0.70
Garrett Temple	29	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-3	-1	13.6	14.5	-0.96	13.5	14.0	-0.54
John Wall	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-4	1	14.5	13.6	0.96	14.0	13.5	0.54
Trevor Ariza	80	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-6	5	14.2	14.3	-0.08	13.6	14.7	-1.09
Kevin Seraphin	65	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	0	-7	14.8	13.2	1.64	12.6	15.7	-3.10
Nene	54	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	4	-15	15.2	13.2	1.94	14.1	13.6	0.51
Bradley Beal	67	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	3	-13	13.7	15.2	-1.46	14.6	12.5	2.13

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	77	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	1	5	14.0	13.3	0.71	14.6	13.2	1.32
Darren Collison	62	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	1	5	13.0	15.2	-2.30	14.1	14.4	-0.27
Jamal Crawford	60	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	0	7	13.6	14.3	-0.70	14.2	14.3	-0.12
DeAndre Jordan	88	90	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	3	1	14.2	11.9	2.31	14.5	12.7	1.77
Blake Griffin	79	80	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	3	1	13.7	14.5	-0.81	14.4	13.8	0.59
Willie Green	21	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	4	-1	15.3	13.5	1.80	14.2	14.3	-0.07
Hedo Turkoglu	22	22	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	6	-5	13.8	13.9	-0.04	13.4	14.5	-1.12
Matt Barnes	60	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	7	-7	13.7	14.0	-0.29	14.2	14.3	-0.10
Ryan Hollins	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	4	-1	12.3	14.0	-1.67	12.3	14.4	-2.09
Jared Dudley	32	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	6	-5	15.0	13.3	1.72	14.1	14.3	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.98,1,1	93.8%
ATL 96, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.91,0.82,0.76,0.54,0.67,0.96,1	93.2%
MEM 92, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.62,0.63,0.85,0.92,1	93.1%