NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	7.0 [437]		MVP	Shaun Livingston (LAC): +23.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	110		Comeback	1.1 [967]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -23.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.15	0.05	0.04	18	66%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Malik Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	71%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Luol Deng	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	17	46%	0.07	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	-0.05	6	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	11	36%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	15	45%	0.01	5	-0.25	8	87%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.14	0.02	7	78%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.09	-0.01	17	59%	0.23	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.04
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	4	83%	0.16	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.04
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	13	56%	0.10	2	-0.10	6	67%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	16	49%	0.04	4	-0.21	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	30.2	15.8	27.4	2.7	35.2	140.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +24.7%

LAC +26.5%

CHI -14.4%

LAC +10.8%

LAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	13.6	15.3	15.4	99.0	110.0	104.5
season	14.5	15.7		103.1	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.9		103.6	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.3	15.3	13.1	12.9	13.6
LAC	16.0	14.7	18.2	12.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	43	42	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-14	16	12.9	14.2	-1.31	14.3	16.0	-1.77
Luol Deng	60	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-14	16	13.9	13.3	0.60	16.0	14.0	2.00
P.J. Brown	81	81	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-14	16	13.7	13.3	0.45	16.1	12.0	4.06
Tyrus Thomas	5	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-7	2	12.0	13.7	-1.73	10.6	15.5	-4.94
Thabo Sefolosha	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-5	-2	13.7	13.6	0.11	11.4	15.6	-4.26
Andres Nocioni	49	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-7	2	13.8	13.5	0.30	14.3	16.3	-1.98
Adrian Griffin	29	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-5	-2	13.9	13.5	0.40	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Michael Sweetney	13	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-3	-6	14.2	13.6	0.58	12.7	15.7	-2.99
Malik Allen	54	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-2	-8	13.5	13.8	-0.28	15.8	14.7	1.05
Ben Gordon	68	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	-5	-2	13.5	13.9	-0.42	16.1	13.6	2.51
Kirk Hinrich	85	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.09	-16	4	-20	13.8	12.8	1.00	15.4	14.6	0.75

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	53	54	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-5	22	12.8	18.1	-5.27	14.0	13.2	0.78
Quinton Ross	62	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	2	8	15.5	14.9	0.60	13.5	13.9	-0.46
Elton Brand	80	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	0	12	15.3	15.1	0.18	13.0	16.8	-3.83
Shaun Livingston	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	1	10	13.6	18.6	-5.04	13.4	14.1	-0.61
Sam Cassell	72	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	0	12	16.4	12.5	3.83	13.8	13.3	0.57
Tim Thomas	66	66	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	7	-2	14.8	16.3	-1.48	13.7	13.6	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	56	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	11	-10	16.9	13.2	3.76	14.0	13.3	0.72
Chris Kaman	42	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	12	-12	17.2	13.9	3.28	14.7	12.9	1.81
Doug Christie	3	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	20	-28	19.0	15.2	3.82	11.7	13.8	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.97,1,1	93.8%
IND 98, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.94,0.95,1	93.5%
TOR 89, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	93.0%