NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	6.3 [555]		MVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): +14.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	15.7 [65]		LVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): -12.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.08	0.03	16	61%	0.19	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.04
Channing Frye	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	9	80%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	4	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.01	14	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.04	0.03	14	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	14	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ish Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	23	44%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.07
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.02	0.05	9	68%	0.07	2	-0.07	7	71%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	18	43%	-0.04	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	9	10%	-0.10	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	32.2	14.8	25.3	2.4	33.5	133.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.6%

CLE -6.8%

PHX +3.7%

PHX +11.8%

CLE -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	16.8	15.1	107.6	98.9	105.2
season	14.7	15.2		107.7	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.9		106.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.0	15.7	13.1	13.7	14.7
CLE	14.6	15.6	20.2	17.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	65	64	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.19	16	-7	23	14.4	15.5	-1.16	17.7	14.7	2.97
Channing Frye	58	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-5	19	14.0	15.9	-1.84	17.9	15.1	2.77
Leandro Barbosa	30	30	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	3	3	14.7	14.7	-0.04	15.7	17.3	-1.63
Markieff Morris	66	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.35	-3	12	-15	15.0	13.8	1.24	15.2	20.7	-5.51
Ish Smith	30	32	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	8	-7	14.2	15.0	-0.78	16.2	17.1	-0.83
Marcus Morris	25	27	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	8	-7	14.5	14.8	-0.24	16.4	17.0	-0.60
Miles Plumlee	32	33	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	-1	11	14.2	14.9	-0.68	19.2	15.4	3.70
PJ Tucker	72	69	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	4	1	14.9	14.0	0.83	16.9	16.6	0.26
Goran Dragic	69	67	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	7	-5	15.1	13.6	1.51	17.1	16.0	1.02
Alex Len	13	13	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	16	-23	17.4	14.3	3.13	12.9	17.4	-4.51

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	65	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-9	9	17.4	15.2	2.24	14.4	15.4	-1.05
Tyler Zeller	25	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-4	-1	15.2	17.4	-2.14	16.1	14.2	1.93
Kyrie Irving	70	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-8	7	17.2	15.5	1.71	14.7	14.6	0.16
Luol Deng	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-5	1	16.9	15.9	1.02	14.8	14.3	0.48
Tristan Thompson	73	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-6	3	17.1	15.4	1.68	14.8	14.1	0.78
Jarrett Jack	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-9	9	15.9	18.1	-2.17	14.5	14.9	-0.37
CJ Miles	37	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	1	-11	18.1	15.9	2.17	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Earl Clark	19	19	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	1	-11	15.4	17.2	-1.80	13.3	15.1	-1.74
Dion Waiters	35	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	3	-15	15.7	17.5	-1.84	15.3	14.3	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.15,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0	92.6%
PHX 106, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.3%
CHI 115, NYK 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.09,0	91.9%