NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	7.2 [379]		MVP	Enes Kanter (UTA): +36.2%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	3.9 [312]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -18.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.16	0.02	0.02	14	77%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Trevor Booker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Bradley Beal	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	16	39%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
John Wall	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	14	41%	-0.05	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.36	0.36	0.18	0.19	0.01	13	86%	0.38	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	9	65%	0.17	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	12	50%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	14	50%	0.04	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	8	48%	-0.01	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.6	24.5	15.0	24.3	2.2	37.4	127.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +56.3%

UTA +2.5%

WAS -5.5%

WAS -1.1%

WAS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.1	106.3	109.5	105.2
season	15.1	16.2		103.8	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.5		109.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	13.4	15.9	13.6	14.4
UTA	14.0	16.6	16.1	17.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter	8	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-5	7	10.0	14.8	-4.80	16.1	15.9	0.25
Marcin Gortat	69	70	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-10	17	14.0	15.4	-1.36	15.6	16.7	-1.04
Trevor Ariza	71	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.31	7	-10	17	13.7	16.4	-2.64	15.2	18.0	-2.75
Trevor Booker	29	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	0	-3	16.9	13.3	3.59	14.9	16.3	-1.42
Garrett Temple	26	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	6	-15	16.5	13.6	2.89	15.0	16.3	-1.31
Martell Webster	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	0	-3	15.2	13.5	1.67	16.1	15.7	0.40
John Wall	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-7	11	13.6	16.5	-2.89	16.3	15.0	1.31
Nene	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-5	7	13.3	16.9	-3.59	16.3	14.9	1.42
Kevin Seraphin	24	23	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	7	-17	16.4	13.7	2.64	18.0	15.2	2.75
Bradley Beal	61	61	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.34	-12	9	-21	14.8	13.8	0.99	16.0	15.7	0.37

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	61	62	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-8	19	16.0	15.9	0.10	14.3	14.6	-0.32
Enes Kanter	59	59	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-3	9	16.4	15.1	1.34	14.6	14.0	0.64
Jeremy Evans	26	26	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-9	21	16.9	15.6	1.33	16.1	13.8	2.31
Gordon Hayward	76	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	0	3	15.6	17.0	-1.36	14.2	15.4	-1.23
Diante Garrett	24	24	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	-2	7	16.4	15.8	0.61	16.4	13.7	2.64
Trey Burke	76	76	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	3	-3	16.1	15.2	0.88	14.0	16.1	-2.13
Derrick Favors	69	69	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.30	-9	12	-21	15.6	16.9	-1.33	13.8	16.1	-2.31
Brandon Rush	14	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	15.6	16.0	-0.32	14.6	14.4	0.21
Marvin Williams	34	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	6	-9	15.9	15.9	-0.05	14.6	14.3	0.34
Richard Jefferson	36	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	11	-19	15.1	16.4	-1.39	14.0	14.6	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.83,0.81,0.63,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 84, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.97,1	92.3%
DAL 94, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.7,0.83,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.97,0.99,1	92.2%
UTA 98, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.92,1	91.2%