inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 84 Excitement6.2 [541] MVPLance Stephenson (IND): +9.7%
Chicago Bulls 87 Comeback2.7 [539] LVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): -10.7%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lance Stephenson0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.010.06-0.02556%0.1000.00862%0.04
Jeff Ayres0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00460%0.0400.002100%0.01
Ian Mahinmi-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00440%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Sam Young-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Paul George-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.030.04-0.09-0.012051%0.011-0.04580%-0.00
Orlando Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
George Hill-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.030.04-0.020.05858%-0.001-0.033100%0.02
Gerald Green-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00831%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.01650%0.002-0.05250%-0.01
Roy Hibbert-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.001847%0.043-0.102100%0.01
D.J. Augustin-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.0030%-0.0800.0000%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.080.001144%0.0900.003100%0.02
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.00769%0.0800.00250%-0.02
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.030.08-0.011237%0.0700.0000%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.020.011551%0.051-0.02540%-0.03
Luol Deng0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.030.011453%0.0100.001060%-0.06
Vladimir Radmanovic00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00437%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01350%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.01856%0.084-0.1100%0.00
Marquis Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.02520%-0.043-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.732.315.730.81.537.5145.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +41.8%
IND -11.4%
CHI +17.9%
CHI +0.9%
CHI +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDCHINBAINDCHINBA
this game16.116.815.495.5100.0104.1
season16.116.6102.4101.7
opponent15.215.5102.399.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND18.915.916.014.216.1
CHI16.316.816.017.916.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Young760.04-0.540.590.040-3318.416.02.4821.716.45.26
Orlando Johnson1415-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-4517.715.91.8618.116.51.57
Roy Hibbert6665-0.12-0.380.25-0.306-91515.518.1-2.5916.318.0-1.71
Tyler Hansbrough5552-0.16-0.340.18-0.191-4515.716.9-1.2716.317.5-1.20
George Hill6061-0.23-0.270.05-0.437-101715.317.9-2.5616.916.50.44
Lance Stephenson6765-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-1-115.617.8-2.1216.018.9-2.86
Paul George6968-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.384-71115.518.4-2.8316.816.60.24
Jeff Ayres3334-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.20-41-516.915.71.2718.016.02.02
Ian Mahinmi2222-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-96-1518.115.52.5918.016.31.71
D.J. Augustin2827-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.09-107-1717.915.32.5615.917.2-1.33
Gerald Green1920-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.13-96-1518.215.62.5616.516.9-0.35

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taj Gibson60600.60-0.100.700.455-2717.215.91.3315.517.5-2.04
Marquis Teague13130.440.060.380.247-41118.316.51.8116.316.10.19
Jimmy Butler35340.420.080.330.3621117.416.31.1016.416.00.38
Daequan Cook31300.360.140.230.2830318.016.11.9616.516.00.48
Luol Deng65670.340.160.180.2821116.916.50.3615.817.2-1.37
Nazr Mohammed55550.160.34-0.180.1021116.517.2-0.6617.514.03.48
Kirk Hinrich39400.120.38-0.250.15-14-515.517.8-2.2315.816.4-0.55
Marco Belinelli49510.080.42-0.340.0512-115.818.1-2.2816.415.80.63
Vladimir Radmanovic100.020.48-0.450.0203-30.017.0-16.970.016.1-16.15
Carlos Boozer52550.020.48-0.460.11-36-916.517.2-0.6715.417.4-2.04
Nate Robinson3535-0.060.56-0.630.02-36-917.616.21.3416.416.00.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.97,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 73, SEA 860.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.59,0.77,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,193.3%
WAS 85, ORL 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.42,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,193.0%
DAL 80, HOU 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.99,0.99,192.9%