NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	9.4 [102]		MVP	Chandler Parsons (HOU): +53.4%
Houston Rockets	87		Comeback	2.0 [309]		LVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): -58.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.24	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.11	0.00	9	79%	0.28	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Ed Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.05	-0.03	0.08	-0.00	9	53%	0.12	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Mike Conley	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	-0.00	11	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	17	38%	0.03	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
Mike Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	10	35%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.53	0.53	0.31	0.23	0.00	17	94%	0.60	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	10	50%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.05
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	11	36%	-0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.18,-0.28,-0.59	-0.59	-0.12	-0.48	-0.01	11	14%	-0.59	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	26.6	15.0	26.8	1.8	36.4	131.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +47.4%

MEM +15.0%

MEM +9.6%

HOU -28.2%

MEM +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	17.8	14.8	15.1	100.0	97.8	105.2
season	16.4	14.3		104.5	109.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.8	15.5	20.3	18.9	17.8
HOU	16.7	14.0	13.3	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	50	49	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.53	2	-1	3	17.0	18.7	-1.72	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Mike Conley	59	59	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	-3	7	18.5	16.2	2.32	15.1	14.3	0.75
Tayshaun Prince	57	57	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.59	-2	3	-5	18.7	16.1	2.62	15.1	14.2	0.95
Marc Gasol	55	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.48	-5	6	-11	18.2	17.1	1.12	15.0	14.4	0.66
Mike Miller	34	34	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	-7	15	17.3	18.1	-0.76	14.4	15.1	-0.72
Zach Randolph	61	61	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	-6	13	18.4	16.4	1.95	15.2	13.9	1.32
Courtney Lee	51	52	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.35	-7	8	-15	18.3	17.0	1.31	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Kosta Koufos	9	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	14.2	18.2	-3.94	15.4	14.7	0.68
Ed Davis	35	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	2	-3	16.2	18.8	-2.64	13.8	15.5	-1.71
Nick Calathes	29	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	4	-7	16.2	18.5	-2.32	14.3	15.1	-0.75

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Jones	52	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	2	-5	15.5	13.8	1.78	17.4	18.2	-0.84
Omri Casspi	37	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-2	3	14.1	15.3	-1.23	16.1	18.9	-2.83
Donatas Motiejunas	40	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	6	-13	14.2	15.3	-1.13	16.6	18.7	-2.06
James Harden	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-5	9	14.8	14.9	-0.10	18.3	15.4	2.99
Dwight Howard	53	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.53	7	-8	15	15.1	14.3	0.78	18.3	16.9	1.38
Jeremy Lin	52	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	1	-3	14.0	15.9	-1.97	17.2	18.6	-1.44
Patrick Beverley	61	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.54	1	-2	3	15.1	14.2	0.85	18.6	15.9	2.75
Chandler Parsons	78	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	5	-11	15.1	12.6	2.47	18.2	14.6	3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.48,0.27,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 110, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.16,0	90.9%
BOS 117, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.23,0.01,0	90.7%
CHI 83, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.09,0	89.8%