NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	112		Excitement	8.3 [211]		MVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): +24.4%
Orlando Magic	109		Comeback	9.5 [185]		LVP	Glen Davis (ORL): -18.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,-0.06,0.01,0.24,0.24	0.07	0.17	-0.00	17	60%	0.34	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.05
DeMarre Carroll	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	7	106%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pero Antic	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.16	-0.05	0.21	0.00	9	42%	0.24	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.12
Jeff Teague	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15	0.04	0.11	0.01	14	64%	0.26	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.05
Mike Scott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.14	-0.02	11	55%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.09	0.01	6	108%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.02	13	73%	0.27	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	5	92%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	63%	0.12	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	7	31%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	16	51%	0.07	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.04
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	9	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	-0.01	10	41%	-0.14	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	25.2	15.7	23.1	2.5	37.3	131.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +4.1%

ATL +34.9%

ATL +16.5%

ORL -1.7%

ORL -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.4	15.1	112.0	112.4	105.2
season	14.8	15.3		103.8	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	13.2	15.9	12.4	13.9
ORL	14.6	16.3	16.1	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	41	41	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.50	8	-5	13	12.7	14.7	-2.03	16.5	14.6	1.92
Pero Antic	68	66	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.30	14	-11	25	14.0	13.6	0.42	15.8	14.4	1.41
Kyle Korver	74	73	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-6	15	13.8	14.0	-0.16	15.3	15.5	-0.21
DeMarre Carroll	47	45	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-15	33	15.0	12.8	2.19	16.0	14.8	1.24
Jeff Teague	76	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	1	1	14.1	13.2	0.88	14.7	17.5	-2.87
Paul Millsap	81	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	-1	5	14.0	13.4	0.63	15.2	16.2	-1.09
Mike Scott	38	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	10	-17	13.1	14.4	-1.25	15.4	15.4	-0.05
Elton Brand	28	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	13	-23	14.2	13.7	0.51	14.6	15.7	-1.09
Louis Williams	47	45	-0.70	1.20	-1.90	-0.03	-23	26	-49	13.5	14.2	-0.74	15.2	15.6	-0.38

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doron Lamb	38	38	0.64	-1.14	1.79	0.09	19	-22	41	16.0	15.0	1.02	13.2	14.3	-1.12
Maurice Harkless	46	48	0.49	-0.99	1.48	0.02	16	-19	35	15.0	15.7	-0.77	13.7	14.0	-0.29
Kyle O'Quinn	41	43	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.02	14	-17	31	15.8	15.1	0.78	14.1	13.7	0.41
Andrew Nicholson	9	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-4	5	14.1	15.5	-1.40	12.8	14.0	-1.21
Jason Maxiell	12	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-3	3	15.5	15.4	0.14	13.8	13.9	-0.04
E'Twaun Moore	20	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	14.3	15.6	-1.30	13.8	13.9	-0.10
Glen Davis	62	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	7	-17	15.6	15.0	0.60	13.8	13.9	-0.10
Victor Oladipo	68	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	1	-5	15.7	14.7	0.94	14.2	13.2	1.02
Tobias Harris	70	71	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.54	-11	8	-19	15.1	16.2	-1.11	13.9	13.8	0.12
Arron Afflalo	59	61	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.50	-15	12	-27	15.5	15.2	0.32	14.2	13.4	0.73
Jameer Nelson	60	63	-1.04	0.54	-1.58	-0.42	-21	18	-39	15.2	15.7	-0.48	13.8	14.0	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.47,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 78, TOR 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.42,0	88.5%
PHX 121, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.84,0	87.4%
MEM 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.42,0	87.4%