NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	120		Excitement	7.2 [374]		MVP	Luol Deng (CLE): +29.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	118		Comeback	3.5 [472]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -7.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.30	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.12	0.01	15	79%	0.35	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.09	-0.00	6	92%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	11	57%	0.17	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Anderson Varejao	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	11	69%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Tyler Zeller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Earl Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	15	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.25	0.04	0.03	14	81%	0.26	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	-0.00	0.02	16	67%	0.18	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.08
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	13	61%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	6	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	5	27%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.04	13	62%	0.06	4	-0.13	6	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	29.5	15.7	27.0	1.7	36.3	136.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +3.9%

CLE +3.6%

CLE +38.4%

CLE +4.2%

LAL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	13.4	15.1	122.4	121.6	105.2
season	15.2	14.0		102.8	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.3		108.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.4	16.8	17.0	16.3	16.1
LAL	13.9	10.3	15.0	15.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	76	74	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.49	9	-7	16	16.5	14.9	1.60	13.6	12.8	0.78
Anderson Varejao	78	75	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.44	9	-7	16	16.1	15.9	0.19	12.6	16.1	-3.45
Tristan Thompson	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.42	7	-5	12	16.6	14.7	1.85	13.6	13.0	0.61
Dion Waiters	44	44	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	4	-6	15.4	16.7	-1.26	15.2	12.0	3.18
CJ Miles	31	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-9	20	16.6	15.9	0.75	13.2	13.5	-0.34
Matthew Dellavedova	41	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	3	-4	16.0	16.2	-0.18	13.5	13.4	0.13
Kyrie Irving	65	65	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.23	-3	5	-8	16.0	16.2	-0.21	12.3	15.7	-3.43
Tyler Zeller	33	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	5	-8	14.9	16.7	-1.75	14.6	12.8	1.89
Jarrett Jack	37	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	10	-18	16.0	16.2	-0.16	13.1	13.6	-0.55
Earl Clark	11	11	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.02	-9	11	-20	16.3	16.1	0.19	14.0	13.3	0.65

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	23	22	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-4	6	16.4	12.5	3.95	15.5	16.3	-0.78
Ryan Kelly	23	24	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-3	4	15.7	12.7	3.04	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Jordan Hill	39	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-8	14	13.4	13.4	0.02	16.5	15.8	0.71
Nick Young	66	66	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.52	16	-18	34	13.4	13.5	-0.09	15.8	16.8	-1.05
Wesley Johnson	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	2	-6	13.1	14.9	-1.87	15.6	18.1	-2.42
Robert Sacre	22	22	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	16	-34	14.0	13.3	0.69	16.5	16.0	0.51
Kendall Marshall	76	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	13.1	14.4	-1.28	16.5	14.7	1.77
Pau Gasol	74	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.48	-4	2	-6	12.5	16.4	-3.95	16.3	15.5	0.78
Jodie Meeks	83	84	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.41	-7	5	-12	13.2	14.5	-1.26	16.2	15.7	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.21,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.67,0.47,0.31,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.05,0	90.3%
CHI 105, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.09,0,0	90.2%
TOR 104, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.02,0	90.0%