NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	6.3 [565]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +20.0%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	5.2 [293]		LVP	Dwight Howard (HOU): -27.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.15	0.01	14	68%	0.37	5	-0.17	9	89%	0.03
Omri Casspi	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	5	100%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	56%	0.04	3	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Terrence Jones	-0.06	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	0.03	-0.01	0.07	14	58%	-0.01	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.03	-0.22	0.03	17	52%	-0.10	5	-0.18	10	30%	-0.22

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	-0.03	0.04	16	59%	0.04	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	10	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.07	0.05	13	62%	0.00	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	16	35%	-0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.11	0.02	22	44%	-0.16	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	65.1	36.5	26.5	2.5	40.2	198.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +74.7%

HOU +3.4%

WAS -2.3%

WAS -26.2%

HOU +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	WAS	NBA	HOU	WAS	NBA
this game	14.1	14.3	15.1	111.8	105.9	105.2
season	14.3	15.1		109.5	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		102.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.1	11.6	15.3	13.7	14.1
WAS	13.9	15.7	13.5	14.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	92	90	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-11	29	14.1	13.9	0.21	14.6	11.9	2.67
Dwight Howard	70	72	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-5	17	14.9	12.3	2.54	14.3	14.2	0.16
James Harden	81	80	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	3	1	14.0	14.4	-0.43	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Francisco Garcia	68	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	7	-7	13.0	16.3	-3.35	14.4	14.1	0.26
Terrence Jones	64	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	4	-1	14.9	12.7	2.28	14.2	14.4	-0.26
Omri Casspi	38	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	3	1	12.7	14.9	-2.28	14.4	14.2	0.26
Ronnie Brewer	36	35	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	-1	9	15.5	13.3	2.18	14.0	14.4	-0.44
Greg Smith	30	28	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.23	-6	13	-19	13.1	14.5	-1.45	14.3	14.3	0.05
Aaron Brooks	31	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.21	-8	15	-23	14.3	14.0	0.24	13.6	14.6	-0.97

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	48	48	0.52	-1.02	1.54	-0.04	19	-26	45	13.7	14.8	-1.10	15.1	13.2	1.88
Otto Porter	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-6	5	14.4	14.3	0.15	11.0	14.4	-3.35
Kevin Seraphin	49	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.46	14	-21	35	13.8	14.8	-1.03	14.7	13.6	1.14
Jan Vesely	14	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-5	3	15.9	14.0	1.91	11.0	14.6	-3.62
Nene	57	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.46	11	-18	29	13.8	14.9	-1.06	13.7	14.6	-0.96
Garrett Temple	13	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	2	-11	15.3	14.1	1.17	10.1	14.7	-4.57
Trevor Booker	37	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	8	-23	14.4	14.2	0.23	15.1	13.5	1.60
John Wall	89	90	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-8	9	14.1	15.7	-1.66	14.4	11.6	2.84
Marcin Gortat	40	41	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.13	-21	14	-35	14.8	14.0	0.81	15.0	13.5	1.52
Trevor Ariza	94	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	-1	-5	14.3	14.4	-0.15	14.4	11.0	3.35
Bradley Beal	57	58	-1.03	0.53	-1.57	-0.27	-26	19	-45	14.9	13.5	1.48	13.1	15.4	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.19,0.41,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.63,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.31,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.15,0	92.5%
SAS 99, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.42,0	88.9%
GSW 115, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.37,0.13,0.08,0	88.5%