inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 90 Excitement3.6 [1099] MVPKawhi Leonard (SAS): +8.9%
San Antonio Spurs 112 Comeback1.0 [1121] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -7.8%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.000.011855%0.071-0.03250%-0.01
Vince Carter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.001450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01175%0.0200.00250%-0.01
DeJuan Blair0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Bernard James0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ricky Ledo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gal Mekel-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.04664%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Shane Larkin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03750%0.003-0.0200%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.030.000.05462%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.000.05550%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.011123%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.01-0.041427%-0.051-0.032100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.00963%0.0900.001100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.01873%0.144-0.086100%0.03
Tony Parker0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.001569%0.196-0.14683%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.000.06974%0.052-0.01560%-0.01
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01564%0.031-0.004100%0.00
Jeff Ayres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.022100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.010.04470%0.0100.002100%0.01
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00550%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.000.071055%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.000.01625%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.13.630.516.727.12.726.7131.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +34.9%
SAS +13.7%
SAS +13.3%
DAL -13.8%
SAS +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game14.216.015.194.7116.7105.2
season15.315.0109.0109.8
opponent15.015.0101.1107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.813.315.913.714.2
SAS16.816.214.116.816.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bernard James990.00-0.500.50-0.186-283412.614.3-1.7816.915.91.00
Ricky Ledo990.00-0.500.50-0.186-283412.614.3-1.7816.915.91.00
Gal Mekel1919-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-242613.914.2-0.2817.415.61.80
Shane Larkin3638-0.09-0.410.330.03-4-181413.814.4-0.5814.117.2-3.06
Samuel Dalembert2121-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-171215.013.91.0717.015.71.25
Jae Crowder5356-0.18-0.320.14-0.03-5-171214.114.3-0.2116.015.90.14
Brandan Wright4142-0.20-0.300.100.24-15-7-813.814.5-0.7315.116.7-1.61
Vince Carter4847-0.20-0.300.090.09-10-12213.514.9-1.4415.616.3-0.71
DeJuan Blair4444-0.24-0.260.010.08-11-11014.314.00.2816.715.31.38
Wayne Ellington2122-0.29-0.21-0.090.15-15-7-816.513.52.9616.016.0-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki5656-0.35-0.15-0.190.33-231-2414.314.00.3315.117.2-2.18
Monta Ellis6867-0.37-0.13-0.250.24-21-1-2014.014.5-0.4916.913.83.18
Jose Calderon5050-0.43-0.07-0.370.01-15-7-814.813.51.3316.215.70.50

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker55560.50-0.000.51-0.021841416.315.60.7314.713.31.42
Tim Duncan56570.470.030.43-0.031751216.315.50.8614.613.60.98
Danny Green58560.450.050.400.07139416.515.11.4015.412.52.90
Kawhi Leonard51520.400.100.31-0.04157816.015.90.1314.314.00.22
Boris Diaw58600.380.120.26-0.3224-22615.017.5-2.4714.214.10.13
Cory Joseph36340.150.35-0.20-0.171111015.516.2-0.7214.014.3-0.31
Marco Belinelli52520.070.43-0.36-0.17814-616.015.90.1313.115.4-2.28
Jeff Ayres25250.060.44-0.39-0.32139414.716.4-1.7613.414.4-1.04
Matt Bonner33310.050.45-0.400.20-527-3217.015.41.6013.714.4-0.68
Patty Mills4139-0.000.50-0.51-0.12418-1415.616.3-0.7313.314.7-1.42
Aron Baynes1513-0.020.52-0.540.21-830-3816.815.80.9713.914.2-0.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 97, MIL 1070.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
LAC 85, HOU 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
CHI 86, NYK 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,0.92,1,1,196.1%