NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	10.0 [77]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +56.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	6.1 [53]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -42.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.56	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.39,0.56	0.18	0.38	-0.00	20	71%	0.59	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	8	50%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Brandon Davies	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	44%	0.05	2	-0.10	7	57%	-0.01
James Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.02	20	52%	0.04	4	-0.20	4	75%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	16	40%	-0.10	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.09	-0.04	12	42%	0.11	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.14
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	8	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	10	60%	0.03
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	53%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	30	46%	-0.04	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.18,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.17	-0.12	-0.01	9	20%	-0.17	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.42	-0.42	-0.17	-0.30	-0.04	20	39%	-0.25	6	-0.17	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	29.0	14.8	26.1	1.8	49.3	144.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +105.1%

POR -21.6%

POR -28.4%

POR -6.1%

PHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	12.2	15.0	15.1	95.3	93.4	105.2
season	13.7	15.1		98.4	109.6
opponent	14.8	15.0		106.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.5	13.0	12.6	10.5	12.2
POR	16.3	13.1	14.1	16.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Anderson	47	47	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.60	6	-4	10	11.9	12.4	-0.56	15.1	14.9	0.17
Evan Turner	82	81	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-6	14	11.6	14.0	-2.38	15.0	15.0	0.01
Spencer Hawes	72	74	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-9	20	12.1	12.4	-0.28	15.6	13.7	1.89
Thaddeus Young	91	90	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	11.8	14.4	-2.61	15.3	13.4	1.93
Tony Wroten	55	56	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	5	-8	12.4	11.9	0.54	15.4	14.6	0.74
Michael Carter-Williams	74	72	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	7	-12	12.4	11.6	0.77	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Hollis Thompson	48	48	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	-2	6	12.3	12.0	0.32	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Elliot Williams	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	6	-10	13.0	12.0	0.96	14.4	15.1	-0.75
Brandon Davies	15	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	6	-10	14.4	11.8	2.61	13.4	15.3	-1.93
Lavoy Allen	33	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	11	-20	12.6	12.0	0.65	13.7	15.6	-1.89

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	55	55	0.31	-0.81	1.11	-0.10	14	-16	30	14.3	15.8	-1.49	12.2	12.1	0.12
Joel Freeland	29	30	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.06	10	-12	22	15.1	15.0	0.18	12.4	12.1	0.29
Dorell Wright	27	26	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.07	4	-6	10	14.7	15.1	-0.46	13.6	11.7	1.93
Meyers Leonard	26	25	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-6	10	14.7	15.1	-0.47	13.1	11.9	1.26
Nicolas Batum	80	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	4	-10	15.1	14.7	0.47	12.2	12.0	0.21
LaMarcus Aldridge	80	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.46	-6	4	-10	15.1	14.7	0.47	11.9	13.1	-1.26
Robin Lopez	77	76	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	-9	7	-16	15.0	15.1	-0.18	12.1	12.4	-0.29
Wesley Matthews	79	80	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.51	-6	4	-10	15.1	14.7	0.46	11.7	13.6	-1.93
Damian Lillard	77	76	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.41	-15	13	-28	15.4	14.0	1.44	12.1	12.4	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.61,0.33,0.1,0.29,0.22,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 116, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.39,0.21,0.16,0.15,0	89.3%
MIA 99, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.59,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.27,0	89.1%
LAC 118, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.37,0	88.6%