NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	94		Excitement	2.4 [1260]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +6.1%
Orlando Magic	81		Comeback	1.1 [1049]		LVP	Arron Afflalo (ORL): -5.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	15	73%	0.09	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	12	62%	0.06	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	42%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	-0.09	10	45%	0.02	6	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.03	10	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.03	4	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	11	21%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	18	38%	-0.06	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.5	25.8	15.0	26.1	0.6	27.4	118.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +43.2%

ORL -2.2%

GSW +15.9%

ORL -5.9%

ORL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ORL	NBA	GSW	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	17.2	15.1	102.2	90.0	105.2
season	14.2	15.3		105.9	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.9	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.5	12.9	16.6	15.1	14.5
ORL	19.2	16.5	20.4	13.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	54	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.13	21	-8	29	14.1	15.0	-0.97	19.2	14.2	4.95
Klay Thompson	54	53	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.01	16	-3	19	14.2	14.8	-0.52	19.6	13.8	5.88
David Lee	51	52	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.13	20	-7	27	14.2	14.8	-0.67	19.4	14.2	5.21
Andre Iguodala	42	42	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.21	22	-9	31	13.2	15.5	-2.29	18.7	16.0	2.71
Andrew Bogut	41	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	-2	17	14.0	14.8	-0.74	18.9	15.8	3.04
Draymond Green	42	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	6	1	14.3	14.6	-0.27	16.9	17.5	-0.54
Harrison Barnes	52	50	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.29	-7	20	-27	15.3	13.3	2.00	16.1	18.6	-2.48
Marreese Speights	41	38	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.25	-7	20	-27	14.8	14.2	0.67	14.2	19.4	-5.21
Kent Bazemore	36	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	18	-23	15.0	14.1	0.85	13.4	19.7	-6.25
Toney Douglas	38	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.25	-8	21	-29	15.0	14.1	0.97	14.2	19.2	-4.95
Ognjen Kuzmic	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	22	-31	17.0	14.2	2.82	11.0	17.9	-6.91

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doron Lamb	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-22	31	11.3	18.1	-6.79	15.6	14.3	1.35
Ronnie Price	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-22	31	11.3	18.1	-6.79	15.6	14.3	1.35
Kyle O'Quinn	24	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.34	11	-24	35	12.1	19.1	-7.01	14.9	14.3	0.56
E'Twaun Moore	20	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-13	13	13.9	18.2	-4.27	13.6	14.7	-1.09
Andrew Nicholson	27	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.27	6	-19	25	13.5	18.8	-5.34	14.4	14.5	-0.11
Jason Maxiell	36	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-11	9	16.9	17.4	-0.56	14.2	14.6	-0.34
Victor Oladipo	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-4	-5	15.6	18.3	-2.70	13.7	14.9	-1.16
Nikola Vucevic	16	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	0	-13	20.7	16.5	4.21	13.0	14.7	-1.74
Maurice Harkless	41	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-3	-7	17.2	17.3	-0.09	15.0	14.0	1.04
Jameer Nelson	59	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	2	-17	18.7	14.4	4.32	15.0	13.5	1.51
Glen Davis	49	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	2	-17	19.7	14.2	5.52	14.3	14.6	-0.23
Tobias Harris	56	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	3	-19	19.3	13.7	5.60	14.3	14.7	-0.32
Arron Afflalo	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.12	-20	7	-27	19.1	12.8	6.30	14.3	14.8	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 111, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
GSW 81, DEN 69	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
SAS 100, CHI 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%