NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	98		Excitement	6.7 [480]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +51.1%
Miami Heat	99		Comeback	40.3 [101]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -21.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	14	52%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.01	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ramon Sessions	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Gerald Henderson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	59%	0.11	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.03	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.26,-0.21	-0.02	-0.17	0.03	22	54%	0.01	6	-0.22	6	83%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.14,0.56,0.51	0.51	0.14	0.38	0.01	13	73%	0.56	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	13	72%	0.25	3	-0.10	10	90%	0.06
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	9	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Shane Battier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	65%	0.10	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	30.2	15.7	24.0	1.8	34.9	134.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +67.2%

CHA -2.7%

CHA -21.3%

MIA +6.0%

MIA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIA	NBA	CHA	MIA	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.1	106.5	107.6	105.2
season	15.7	15.6		102.4	109.7
opponent	15.8	15.1		105.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.2	16.9	17.4	15.4	16.4
MIA	15.1	15.1	16.0	13.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	38	37	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-2	3	15.9	16.8	-0.85	15.3	14.6	0.73
Bismack Biyombo	19	20	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.03	2	-3	5	13.7	17.2	-3.41	15.7	14.6	1.07
Jeff Taylor	47	46	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-3	5	15.9	17.0	-1.04	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Ramon Sessions	31	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	4	-9	14.5	17.5	-3.01	14.8	14.9	-0.15
Ben Gordon	14	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	3	-7	15.1	16.7	-1.62	12.9	15.2	-2.28
Kemba Walker	79	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.51	6	-7	13	16.6	15.6	0.97	14.8	14.9	-0.07
Gerald Henderson	61	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.56	4	-5	9	17.5	14.5	3.01	14.9	14.8	0.15
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	44	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.36	-6	5	-11	17.2	15.8	1.41	15.7	14.0	1.71
Al Jefferson	73	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.51	-3	2	-5	17.2	13.7	3.41	14.6	15.7	-1.07
Josh McRoberts	54	55	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.54	-2	1	-3	16.8	15.9	0.85	14.6	15.3	-0.73

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norris Cole	44	47	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.60	8	-7	15	15.2	14.5	0.71	14.9	18.1	-3.17
Dwyane Wade	70	70	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.47	7	-6	13	14.4	16.5	-2.10	15.9	18.3	-2.40
Mario Chalmers	63	61	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.43	6	-5	11	14.5	15.7	-1.16	17.6	14.3	3.30
Chris Bosh	65	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.56	-2	3	-5	15.0	14.6	0.38	17.5	14.1	3.47
LeBron James	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.56	-4	5	-9	15.2	13.8	1.36	17.1	14.3	2.80
Rashard Lewis	12	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	2	-3	15.4	14.8	0.64	13.4	17.0	-3.64
Chris Andersen	28	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	-2	5	14.1	15.2	-1.13	14.1	17.5	-3.47
Michael Beasley	30	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.06	1	0	1	14.8	14.9	-0.14	16.2	16.5	-0.33
Ray Allen	30	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	4	-7	15.3	14.7	0.61	15.8	16.8	-0.96
Shane Battier	47	47	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.09	-10	11	-21	15.3	14.4	0.81	17.9	14.9	3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.42,1	89.6%
MIN 98, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.31,0.28,0.57,0.85,1	89.4%
HOU 87, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.31,0.21,0.45,0.63,1	89.4%