inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 94 Excitement2.3 [1274] MVPLuol Deng (CHI): +9.4%
Chicago Bulls 110 Comeback1.1 [729] LVPPaul George (IND): -10.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Roy Hibbert0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011052%0.021-0.01757%-0.02
George Hill0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01758%0.022-0.02580%0.00
Chris Copeland0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.140.000.145108%0.0000.002100%0.00
Rasual Butler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Orlando Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.08482%-0.0000.003100%0.00
David West-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.031639%-0.011-0.001100%0.00
Ian Mahinmi-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Luis Scola-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.020.000.04850%-0.0300.0000%0.00
CJ Watson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.02617%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Solomon Hill-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.0210%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Lance Stephenson-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.020.000.051440%-0.0700.002100%-0.00
Paul George-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.110.00-0.001435%-0.083-0.036100%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.00-0.011466%0.123-0.02786%-0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.00-0.071054%0.093-0.044100%0.02
Derrick Rose0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.120.000.071662%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.045100%0.0410.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.07383%0.021-0.01683%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041356%0.001-0.001100%0.00
Tony Snell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erik Murphy00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.001154%0.003-0.03250%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.04625%-0.041-0.00450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.526.415.429.52.528.7131.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +43.4%
CHI +6.2%
IND -1.9%
CHI +1.6%
CHI +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDCHINBAINDCHINBA
this game15.616.215.1103.3122.2105.2
season15.816.3102.7101.1
opponent15.315.299.699.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND17.017.216.511.815.6
CHI15.014.715.519.516.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler100.00-0.500.500.000-16160.015.8-15.810.016.2-16.19
Chris Copeland3131-0.00-0.500.49-0.4214-304413.316.8-3.5119.314.54.78
Solomon Hill1920-0.14-0.360.21-0.140-161614.316.0-1.6716.316.10.21
Ian Mahinmi1211-0.16-0.340.190.05-7-9218.415.23.2017.516.01.55
Orlando Johnson3028-0.16-0.340.18-0.191-171814.516.2-1.6518.315.23.10
CJ Watson2626-0.21-0.280.07-0.19-1-151414.915.9-1.0016.815.90.87
Luis Scola3939-0.22-0.280.06-0.220-161614.016.9-2.8717.615.12.52
George Hill6665-0.25-0.25-0.000.13-13-3-1016.014.71.3215.917.0-1.18
David West5251-0.28-0.22-0.060.19-160-1616.914.02.8715.117.6-2.52
Lance Stephenson6362-0.33-0.17-0.160.26-204-2415.715.40.3515.417.9-2.53
Roy Hibbert5656-0.34-0.16-0.180.19-182-2016.614.12.5214.618.9-4.28
Paul George6061-0.40-0.10-0.300.19-204-2416.414.22.2415.717.2-1.55

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kirk Hinrich62620.410.090.320.1597216.715.11.5214.917.3-2.46
Luol Deng62610.370.130.240.05115616.116.3-0.1416.014.91.10
Joakim Noah62620.340.160.18-0.2219-32214.520.0-5.4816.214.31.90
Jimmy Butler48480.310.190.12-0.2419-32214.418.2-3.8016.814.32.53
Taj Gibson49500.250.250.010.31-218-2017.714.43.3014.317.3-2.97
Carlos Boozer51500.250.25-0.01-0.131331015.517.2-1.7016.414.71.78
Derrick Rose56580.220.28-0.06-0.13124815.717.0-1.2616.414.42.00
Mike Dunleavy42430.190.31-0.120.28-319-2218.214.43.8014.316.8-2.53
Nazr Mohammed18190.160.34-0.180.10214-1220.115.24.8315.915.60.33
Tony Snell010.000.50-0.500.00016-160.016.2-16.190.015.8-15.81
Erik Murphy010.000.50-0.500.00016-160.016.2-16.190.015.8-15.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 91, HOU 1170.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
WAS 77, UTA 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
CLE 77, DET 1160.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%