NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	77		Excitement	1.9 [1264]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +7.9%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	1.2 [1151]		LVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): -8.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Etan Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	63%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	7	44%	-0.04	4	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Jordan	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	12	38%	-0.06	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	10	77%	0.08	2	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.05	10	65%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	64%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	61%	0.00	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	16	55%	-0.02	1	-0.00	10	90%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.3	29.3	16.5	22.4	2.5	25.6	124.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.4%

UTA +1.9%

UTA +9.9%

UTA +7.7%

UTA +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	16.7	15.5	90.6	126.7	101.6
season	16.5	16.3		100.9	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	19.1	17.9	16.6	14.6	16.9
UTA	18.8	12.9	19.4	16.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-38	44	14.6	17.8	-3.20	16.7	16.8	-0.07
Charles Oakley	3	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-26	20	22.7	16.7	5.93	28.0	16.3	11.66
Juan Dixon	37	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-33	34	15.1	18.4	-3.29	15.6	17.7	-2.13
Brendan Haywood	28	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.42	-20	-12	-8	19.8	15.5	4.24	16.5	16.9	-0.39
Kwame Brown	59	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-25	18	15.8	19.6	-3.80	16.2	17.9	-1.67
Etan Thomas	49	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-29	26	15.1	19.4	-4.25	17.1	16.3	0.78
Bryon Russell	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.40	-23	-9	-14	17.7	16.1	1.61	17.3	16.1	1.27
Larry Hughes	50	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-20	8	15.8	18.6	-2.77	16.9	16.6	0.32
Christian Laettner	31	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.50	-28	-4	-24	18.9	15.8	3.04	16.4	17.0	-0.59
Tyronn Lue	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.61	-33	1	-34	18.4	15.1	3.29	17.7	15.6	2.13
Michael Jordan	50	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.60	-35	3	-38	18.5	14.7	3.74	16.1	17.7	-1.59

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	51	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.64	36	-4	40	17.3	15.9	1.40	17.7	15.9	1.84
Karl Malone	50	48	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.60	34	-2	36	17.2	16.1	1.14	18.3	15.2	3.15
Andrei Kirilenko	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	18	-4	17.7	15.1	2.63	15.8	19.0	-3.24
Mark Jackson	35	33	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	17	-2	19.8	14.6	5.20	15.5	17.8	-2.33
Scott Padgett	49	49	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	22	-12	14.9	19.2	-4.24	15.8	18.5	-2.66
John Stockton	36	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.50	25	7	18	14.6	18.3	-3.76	19.3	15.1	4.12
Greg Ostertag	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.39	21	11	10	19.9	14.5	5.46	18.3	15.9	2.41
Calbert Cheaney	43	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.19	13	19	-6	16.7	16.8	-0.14	18.8	15.0	3.74
Tony Massenburg	20	20	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	26	-20	15.5	17.1	-1.62	16.2	17.2	-0.97
DeShawn Stevenson	23	23	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	31	-30	13.3	18.0	-4.64	14.6	17.8	-3.20
Carlos Arroyo	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	40	-48	14.8	17.2	-2.35	14.3	17.5	-3.17
John Amaechi	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	39	-46	15.4	17.1	-1.73	14.2	17.6	-3.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
HOU 74, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
SAC 81, LAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%