inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 91 Excitement2.3 [1262] MVPJosh Smith (HOU): +7.4%
Houston Rockets 117 Comeback1.0 [1257] LVPTrey Burke (UTA): -8.5%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Elijah Millsap0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.00-0.00-0.02845%0.0200.00450%-0.00
Jeremy Evans0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01948%0.0100.00367%0.00
Grant Jerrett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03654%0.0000.001100%0.00
Jack Cooley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.01742%-0.0100.00540%-0.00
Bryce Cotton-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.001450%-0.0120.0000%0.00
Rudy Gobert-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01657%-0.012-0.012100%0.00
Dante Exum-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.04633%-0.022-0.0100%0.00
Chris Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.050.000.091065%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Derrick Favors-0.060,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01631%-0.012-0.0410%-0.01
Joe Ingles-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.140.00-0.0760%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Rodney Hood-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.000.031242%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Trey Burke-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.130.00-0.051117%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.00-0.03959%0.091-0.02450%-0.01
Terrence Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.120.000.08694%0.061-0.02450%-0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.03778%0.062-0.02450%-0.01
James Harden0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.04867%0.056-0.038100%0.02
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.03467%0.0200.00450%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.031544%0.0110.002100%0.01
Pablo Prigioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.083133%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joey Dorsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00175%0.0010.00250%0.00
KJ McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.00250%0.00
Nick Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02375%0.0030.002100%0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0720%0.0020.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.03833%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Jason Terry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.070.000.10675%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.825.215.526.21.627.2122.5
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +39.4%
HOU +4.7%
UTA -2.4%
HOU +7.6%
HOU +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAHOUNBAUTAHOUNBA
this game14.812.815.187.5111.4104.2
season16.214.3103.8105.6
opponent14.915.3103.1103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA18.713.515.812.214.8
HOU13.411.313.013.512.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Jerrett2726-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-252415.414.60.7512.812.70.12
Jack Cooley4141-0.07-0.430.37-0.339-354412.716.2-3.4412.712.8-0.11
Elijah Millsap5656-0.14-0.360.22-0.264-303412.517.5-5.0213.911.42.48
Trey Burke4243-0.19-0.310.130.34-18-8-1015.014.70.2311.213.9-2.69
Derrick Favors1718-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-15419.713.95.8413.712.61.10
Bryce Cotton5455-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-232013.416.3-2.9313.811.62.20
Jeremy Evans5051-0.24-0.260.010.23-16-10-613.815.7-1.9212.013.5-1.50
Joe Ingles3534-0.25-0.250.000.28-18-8-1017.913.24.6713.412.50.93
Rodney Hood4244-0.26-0.24-0.030.20-16-10-618.012.75.3412.213.1-0.94
Dante Exum3637-0.27-0.23-0.040.32-20-6-1416.913.73.1311.613.4-1.79
Rudy Gobert5151-0.31-0.19-0.120.45-260-2615.813.91.8612.612.9-0.28
Chris Johnson6969-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-12-213.018.4-5.4413.112.10.93

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Smith40390.360.140.21-0.201971212.512.9-0.4515.214.60.54
Corey Brewer54530.350.150.19-0.181881012.413.1-0.7113.216.5-3.21
Trevor Ariza46460.330.170.15-0.262061413.012.50.4817.712.55.16
James Harden59590.330.170.15-0.5028-23011.913.9-1.9916.013.22.81
Dwight Howard44430.270.230.04-0.352151613.112.50.6216.113.92.14
Pablo Prigioni42410.240.26-0.010.01818-1013.912.01.9614.215.2-1.03
Jason Terry47470.240.26-0.01-0.432332011.313.9-2.6316.413.52.93
Terrence Jones44450.210.29-0.07-0.372061411.513.7-2.2316.213.82.40
Clint Capela38380.170.33-0.160.05422-1813.212.50.7614.215.2-1.00
Nick Johnson32310.000.50-0.500.29-1036-4613.712.31.4312.215.9-3.74
Joey Dorsey32310.000.50-0.500.29-1036-4613.712.31.4312.215.9-3.74
Kostas Papanikolaou28280.000.50-0.500.21-733-4013.512.51.0212.215.8-3.56
KJ McDaniels19190.000.50-0.500.12-430-3414.112.51.6512.715.3-2.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 94, CHI 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
SEA 81, SAS 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
NOP 98, MIN 1160.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%