NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	97		Excitement	5.0 [845]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +19.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	81		Comeback	1.2 [1100]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -17.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.05	0.03	18	75%	0.27	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	2	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Michael Beasley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	54%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	1	125%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	5	69%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.04	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Norris Cole	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	7	22%	-0.09	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.01	18	52%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	14	42%	0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	12	45%	-0.06	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.02
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	17%	-0.12	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	10	30%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	26.5	15.6	25.2	2.5	27.6	125.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +49.4%

MIA +12.5%

CHA -1.6%

CHA -10.8%

MIA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CHA	NBA	MIA	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	18.0	15.1	111.5	93.1	105.2
season	15.6	15.7		109.7	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	12.8	13.7	16.4	17.3	15.1
CHA	18.5	22.4	17.1	14.6	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	59	59	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.05	21	-5	26	15.2	14.8	0.35	18.1	18.0	0.12
Michael Beasley	42	44	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.06	18	-2	20	16.5	13.8	2.70	15.9	20.2	-4.32
Chris Andersen	43	40	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	1	14	15.7	14.4	1.27	18.0	18.1	-0.04
LeBron James	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	9	-2	14.7	15.8	-1.13	18.3	17.6	0.64
Norris Cole	64	65	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	2	12	14.3	17.2	-2.88	19.0	15.2	3.83
Roger Mason Jr.	38	37	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	7	2	17.0	13.5	3.50	15.0	20.3	-5.35
Joel Anthony	16	17	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.02	2	14	-12	14.8	15.1	-0.30	17.1	18.3	-1.23
Shane Battier	45	43	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	18	-20	13.8	16.5	-2.70	20.2	15.9	4.32
Chris Bosh	28	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	17	-18	14.2	15.5	-1.24	18.6	17.7	0.90
Dwyane Wade	41	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.02	-3	19	-22	14.8	15.3	-0.52	18.9	17.2	1.66

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	59	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-16	16	18.2	17.8	0.33	15.4	14.4	1.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	45	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-13	10	18.6	17.5	1.15	15.7	14.4	1.26
Josh McRoberts	66	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-12	8	18.0	18.2	-0.19	15.5	13.6	1.89
Cody Zeller	11	11	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-10	4	17.5	18.1	-0.57	17.1	14.8	2.33
Anthony Tolliver	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	18.2	17.7	0.48	14.8	15.5	-0.73
Bismack Biyombo	39	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-3	-10	18.0	18.1	-0.04	14.1	15.8	-1.73
Kemba Walker	61	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	-1	-14	18.1	18.0	0.07	14.4	16.6	-2.22
Ramon Sessions	41	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-5	-6	17.7	18.4	-0.73	15.1	15.0	0.08
Jeff Taylor	55	55	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.01	-19	3	-22	17.7	18.6	-0.82	14.9	15.3	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, GSW 82	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
MIN 91, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.2,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.17,0	93.6%
IND 109, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0	93.5%