inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 90 Excitement4.6 [904] MVPAndre Iguodala (GSW): +17.0%
Memphis Grizzlies 108 Comeback1.3 [829] LVPAndrew Bogut (GSW): -14.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Iguodala0.170,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.150.030.011076%0.1700.00520%-0.06
David Lee0.030,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01859%0.072-0.04683%0.01
Marreese Speights0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02367%0.0210.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.011855%0.083-0.074100%0.02
Toney Douglas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Klay Thompson0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.011346%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0010.0010%0.00
Nemanja Nedovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01337%0.001-0.02250%0.00
Harrison Barnes-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02729%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Draymond Green-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.01643%-0.013-0.06250%-0.01
Andrew Bogut-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.02-0.02310%-0.054-0.10425%-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.120.03-0.00783%0.1600.00475%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.010.041187%0.173-0.081100%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00756%0.0600.004100%0.02
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.01663%0.071-0.02757%-0.02
Marc Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.000.031556%0.0400.002100%0.01
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.050.01-0.07757%0.054-0.0200%0.00
Quincy Pondexter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Franklin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ed Davis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.021951%0.064-0.08771%0.00
Nick Calathes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.14-0.00-0.05617%-0.044-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.42.328.515.727.93.329.3136.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +18.2%
MEM +11.5%
MEM +4.7%
MEM +9.9%
MEM +5.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMEMNBAGSWMEMNBA
this game14.015.515.191.8111.3105.2
season14.216.4105.9104.5
opponent15.215.3103.4102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.614.213.413.814.0
MEM13.716.416.016.215.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Lee47480.02-0.520.55-0.125-232814.014.00.0815.715.40.32
Ognjen Kuzmic880.00-0.500.50-0.124-222615.113.91.2220.215.15.13
Nemanja Nedovic880.00-0.500.50-0.124-222615.113.91.2220.215.15.13
Kent Bazemore1515-0.03-0.470.43-0.092-202213.414.1-0.7115.715.50.14
Toney Douglas1413-0.16-0.340.180.16-11-7-415.113.81.2512.316.0-3.74
Marreese Speights2623-0.18-0.320.150.18-12-6-615.413.51.9415.615.50.08
Draymond Green4543-0.18-0.320.15-0.09-3-151212.815.1-2.3015.715.40.31
Andrew Bogut6162-0.25-0.250.010.11-12-6-613.714.6-0.9115.715.30.32
Stephen Curry7172-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-9013.614.9-1.2815.416.0-0.61
Jermaine O'Neal3231-0.28-0.22-0.070.01-10-8-214.513.70.7914.616.0-1.32
Andre Iguodala6967-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-3-1213.714.6-0.8815.116.6-1.57
Harrison Barnes3737-0.35-0.15-0.200.03-13-5-814.913.41.5215.615.50.08
Klay Thompson5758-0.500.00-0.500.08-202-2214.113.90.2115.715.30.48

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Gasol83830.410.090.32-0.061621416.112.53.5614.411.72.68
Mike Miller57560.400.100.30-0.1619-12015.815.10.6714.912.72.21
Nick Calathes44440.390.110.290.10108216.714.62.1213.914.1-0.25
Tayshaun Prince76770.380.120.26-0.1819-12014.718.6-3.9214.412.71.64
Zach Randolph72720.340.160.18-0.131621414.817.8-2.9814.113.60.52
Tony Allen48480.340.160.170.13711-415.515.6-0.0913.714.3-0.61
Kosta Koufos36370.250.250.000.10513-815.615.50.1013.714.2-0.48
Mike Conley53540.110.39-0.29-0.13810-214.616.7-2.1214.113.90.25
Jamaal Franklin560.000.50-0.500.09-321-2420.215.34.9110.014.3-4.26
Ed Davis340.000.50-0.500.03-119-2019.015.43.565.714.4-8.60
Quincy Pondexter89-0.120.62-0.730.06-624-3019.015.23.769.414.5-5.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 80, SAS 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
MIN 90, PHX 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
MIL 85, CHA 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.99,1,1,195.3%