NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	108		Excitement	11.4 [34]		MVP	Nene (WAS): +68.0%
Washington Wizards	112		Comeback	35.6 [34]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -55.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	7	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	14	70%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.09
Jason Terry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	58%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.11	0.10	-0.02	11	17%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Alan Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.01	15	53%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.05	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.39,-0.39,-0.32,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	14	45%	0.22	6	-0.35	3	67%	-0.04
Paul Pierce	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	5	31%	0.00	3	-0.20	3	67%	-0.04
Andray Blatche	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.02	-0.18	0.01	5	71%	-0.03	4	-0.18	4	50%	-0.16

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.08,0.34,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68	0.68	0.09	0.61	0.02	12	65%	0.75	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	0.02	11	56%	0.18	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,0.1	0.10	-0.10	0.19	-0.01	8	31%	0.19	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,0.02	0.02	0.14	-0.11	0.00	20	66%	0.17	2	-0.15	4	100%	0.05
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.06	0.02	11	62%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.49,-0.49,-0.41,-0.49,-0.6,-0.55	-0.55	-0.06	-0.48	0.01	14	47%	-0.23	4	-0.32	8	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	27.3	15.6	23.3	2.4	42.2	1.8	16.9	154.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -0.5%

WAS +41.4%

BKN -12.1%

WAS +25.8%

BKN -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	WAS	NBA	BKN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	15.1	99.1	104.7	105.2
season	15.7	15.1		105.1	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BKN	13.7	15.0	16.4	15.5	15.4	15.1
WAS	14.5	13.8	14.3	15.1	13.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	30	28	0.55	-1.05	1.59	0.34	7	-11	18	16.0	14.8	1.20	15.6	13.8	1.81
Andray Blatche	53	53	0.54	-1.04	1.58	0.24	10	-14	24	14.7	15.6	-0.87	15.4	13.2	2.19
Shaun Livingston	44	44	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.41	1	-5	6	15.3	15.0	0.28	15.4	13.6	1.79
Reggie Evans	27	27	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.14	6	-10	16	15.0	15.2	-0.17	15.7	13.8	1.92
Jason Terry	40	42	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-12	20	14.7	15.3	-0.60	15.2	13.8	1.41
Andrei Kirilenko	27	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-3	2	14.3	15.4	-1.16	14.4	14.3	0.18
Brook Lopez	68	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	3	-10	14.9	15.6	-0.69	13.8	15.1	-1.34
Paul Pierce	55	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-4	4	15.1	15.1	-0.00	14.4	14.2	0.16
Deron Williams	65	63	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.80	-5	1	-6	15.0	15.3	-0.28	13.6	15.4	-1.79
Joe Johnson	73	71	-1.12	0.62	-1.75	-0.66	-16	12	-28	15.2	15.1	0.11	13.5	16.0	-2.51
Kevin Garnett	52	49	-1.13	0.63	-1.77	-0.58	-19	15	-34	16.1	14.2	1.92	12.8	15.6	-2.75

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	88	89	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.49	17	-13	30	13.9	16.3	-2.44	15.3	14.4	0.89
Bradley Beal	94	96	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.39	18	-14	32	13.9	17.5	-3.59	15.5	12.7	2.77
Marcin Gortat	71	74	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.30	20	-16	36	13.7	15.5	-1.75	15.6	14.1	1.58
Nene	71	72	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.53	6	-2	8	14.0	14.9	-0.96	15.1	15.2	-0.13
Trevor Ariza	88	91	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-1	6	14.3	14.3	0.06	15.1	15.4	-0.38
Kevin Seraphin	21	22	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.11	-5	9	-14	15.6	14.0	1.57	15.4	15.1	0.29
Al Harrington	51	50	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.00	-11	15	-26	15.1	13.6	1.43	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Eric Maynor	19	20	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	-0.10	-13	17	-30	16.3	13.9	2.44	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Martell Webster	32	31	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.06	-15	19	-34	15.6	13.8	1.79	14.3	15.5	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.22,0.47,0.46,0.74,0.78,0.45,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.84,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.53,0.25,0.08,0.09,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.42,1	87.2%
SEA 152, PHX 149	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.15,0.54,0.32,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.26,0	86.9%
GSW 90, VAN 85	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.76,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.14,0.19,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.32,0.26,0	86.2%