NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	152		Excitement	15.1 [5]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +132.3%
Phoenix Suns	149		Comeback	3.6 [267]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (PHX): -19.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	1.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.55,0.92,1.06,0.97,1.05,0.95,0.8,0.8,0.97,0.97,0.88,1.32	0.20	1.09	-0.03	28	67%	1.59	3	-0.27	7	86%	0.04
Robert Swift	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.04	0.28	-0.01	9	58%	0.36	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.29	0.04	0.25	0.01	16	55%	0.36	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Damien Wilkins	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.12	0.00	3	110%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.00	22	64%	0.28	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Johan Petro	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	12	61%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	8	53%	0.02	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68	0.68	0.14	0.56	0.02	30	58%	0.72	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Raja Bell	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.48	0.48	0.23	0.25	-0.00	17	82%	0.56	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.06	0.22	0.00	8	78%	0.34	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.06
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.18	0.01	20	67%	0.55	5	-0.32	2	100%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	14	57%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	31%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.01	-0.19	-0.00	7	58%	-0.04	3	-0.15	5	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	24.8	15.8	27.1	2.6	35.9	0.7	15.0	0.8	15.9	167.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +61.8%

SEA +11.2%

SEA +20.5%

PHX -32.5%

PHX -11.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	15.6	126.7	122.1	104.4
season	15.0	13.8		108.9	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.8		105.8	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	12.2	15.5	16.0	15.6	15.9	14.8
PHX	12.2	14.5	14.7	13.8	14.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	37	37	1.11	-0.61	1.73	0.61	17	-14	31	14.3	15.1	-0.82	15.4	13.2	2.15
Ronald Murray	41	40	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-13	29	13.4	15.7	-2.32	15.3	13.2	2.08
Vladimir Radmanovic	111	112	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	-1	5	14.7	17.8	-3.12	13.9	13.1	0.85
Luke Ridnour	85	85	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.36	-2	5	-7	15.0	14.7	0.21	13.7	14.2	-0.53
Rashard Lewis	90	90	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	7	-11	14.8	15.3	-0.54	13.9	13.7	0.21
Reggie Evans	1	2	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	0	3	21.0	14.8	6.16	8.5	14.0	-5.47
Ray Allen	105	108	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	11	-19	15.4	11.7	3.69	13.4	17.2	-3.77
Nick Collison	9	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	4	-5	17.8	14.7	3.12	13.1	13.9	-0.85
Damien Wilkins	33	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	0	3	14.4	15.1	-0.69	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Robert Swift	79	83	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.00	-13	16	-29	15.4	13.8	1.61	13.3	15.0	-1.69

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	32	34	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.23	-2	-1	-1	14.1	13.8	0.25	13.8	15.3	-1.49
Leandro Barbosa	50	50	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.09	-1	-2	1	12.1	15.1	-3.08	15.0	14.8	0.12
Raja Bell	93	92	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-5	7	13.7	14.5	-0.79	15.4	13.2	2.14
James Jones	36	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	7	-17	14.3	13.7	0.65	13.5	15.5	-1.99
Kurt Thomas	84	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.58	7	-10	17	13.9	13.9	-0.03	15.7	13.2	2.46
Steve Nash	104	101	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	1	-5	13.9	13.6	0.38	14.7	15.9	-1.19
Shawn Marion	112	111	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	1	-5	13.9	13.1	0.85	14.7	17.8	-3.12
Boris Diaw	88	85	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.63	-3	0	-3	14.7	11.9	2.81	15.0	14.6	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.15,0.54,0.32,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, WAS 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.15,1	89.0%
GSW 90, VAN 85	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.76,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.14,0.19,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.32,0.26,0	88.6%
ATL 80, DAL 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.22,0.06,0.05,0	88.1%