NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	104		Excitement	8.4 [202]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): +28.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	15.9 [22]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -50.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	-0.00	0.02	16	61%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	21	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.04
Kirk Hinrich	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Joakim Noah	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	11	42%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	-0.51	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.06,-0.38,-0.51	-0.19	-0.34	-0.02	14	41%	0.03	8	-0.53	4	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.29	0.29	0.11	0.19	0.02	11	82%	0.32	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Orton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	16	51%	0.10	2	-0.08	7	86%	-0.05
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	46%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	10%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.09	0.03	22	53%	-0.04	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.0	26.2	14.7	25.2	2.5	34.2	126.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +35.3%

CHI -12.1%

CHI -11.3%

PHI +37.7%

PHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	13.8	15.1	102.0	108.1	105.2
season	16.3	13.7		101.1	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.9	15.0	15.0	14.4	14.8
PHI	14.5	15.0	10.8	15.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	33	32	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.07	9	-12	21	14.0	15.2	-1.16	16.2	12.7	3.53
Kirk Hinrich	39	39	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.00	8	-11	19	14.4	15.1	-0.74	15.0	13.0	1.98
Taj Gibson	47	47	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-11	19	14.5	15.1	-0.52	15.3	12.5	2.80
Nazr Mohammed	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-5	7	14.3	14.9	-0.59	15.9	13.4	2.52
Jimmy Butler	82	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-1	-1	15.1	13.4	1.70	14.0	13.1	0.94
Carlos Boozer	70	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	2	-7	14.9	14.6	0.28	12.9	15.7	-2.84
Joakim Noah	71	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	8	-19	15.0	14.3	0.71	13.2	15.2	-1.94
Derrick Rose	72	68	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.39	-11	8	-19	15.1	14.2	0.82	12.9	15.9	-3.07
Luol Deng	80	77	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.56	-13	10	-23	14.8	14.9	-0.06	12.9	17.1	-4.19

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Anderson	63	65	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.44	17	-14	31	13.2	14.9	-1.75	15.2	14.1	1.11
Thaddeus Young	61	63	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.55	9	-6	15	12.8	15.4	-2.63	15.4	13.8	1.65
Spencer Hawes	65	66	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.55	9	-6	15	12.8	15.8	-2.99	15.3	13.8	1.52
Michael Carter-Williams	77	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-3	9	13.2	16.1	-2.91	15.1	13.8	1.33
Evan Turner	80	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	0	3	13.4	15.4	-1.97	15.0	13.8	1.26
Brandon Davies	4	5	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	-4	11	15.5	13.8	1.74	12.2	14.9	-2.75
Hollis Thompson	8	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	17.6	13.5	4.13	16.3	14.7	1.67
Darius Morris	22	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	6	-9	16.1	13.2	2.91	13.8	15.1	-1.33
Daniel Orton	33	35	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.16	-6	9	-15	15.7	12.9	2.80	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Tony Wroten	47	47	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.10	-9	12	-21	14.7	13.1	1.62	13.6	15.9	-2.34
Lavoy Allen	35	35	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.07	-13	16	-29	15.5	12.9	2.65	14.1	15.2	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.28,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.31,0.54,0.33,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 105, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.25,0.45,0.33,0.58,1	91.2%
POR 94, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.12,0.17,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.74,1	90.3%
SAC 85, SEA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.23,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.46,0.68,0.73,1	90.1%