NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	85		Excitement	8.5 [141]		MVP	Shammond Williams (SEA): +13.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	89		Comeback	8.9 [196]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -45.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	4	78%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.02	11	82%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Doug Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	10	43%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	5	38%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.09
Jon Barry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.08
Jason Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	8	31%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.25,-0.25	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	5	-0.23	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.45	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45	-0.23	-0.26	-0.03	23	36%	-0.26	4	-0.19	10	60%	-0.07

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	10	52%	0.19	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	13	58%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	12	46%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.07
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.19	-0.16	-0.01	30	31%	-0.28	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	46.9	2.8	25.2	15.6	27.2	1.7	30.3	149.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -11.7%

SEA +10.8%

SEA +36.6%

SEA +16.9%

SAC -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SEA	NBA	SAC	SEA	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.5	91.4	97.8	100.9
season	14.4	15.2		103.1	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.5	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.8	13.0	17.5	15.0	14.8
SEA	16.9	17.0	12.5	20.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	28	29	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.15	8	-12	20	14.0	15.2	-1.22	19.6	15.1	4.52
Lawrence Funderburke	25	24	0.31	-0.81	1.13	-0.01	11	-15	26	14.8	14.8	-0.02	18.0	16.0	2.09
Bobby Jackson	32	33	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.09	6	-10	16	14.3	15.1	-0.82	18.2	15.6	2.58
Hedo Turkoglu	29	30	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-8	12	14.6	14.9	-0.34	19.1	15.2	3.87
Vlade Divac	62	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	6	-16	14.7	15.1	-0.37	15.5	18.3	-2.84
Chris Webber	89	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.39	-5	1	-6	14.7	17.7	-3.06	16.4	18.7	-2.23
Jason Williams	61	58	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.48	-10	6	-16	15.1	14.3	0.82	15.6	18.2	-2.58
Peja Stojakovic	74	72	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.50	-12	8	-20	15.2	13.4	1.75	15.8	19.1	-3.29
Doug Christie	65	62	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.53	-12	8	-20	15.2	14.0	1.22	15.1	19.6	-4.52

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	61	63	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.50	14	-10	24	15.9	17.8	-1.88	15.9	12.5	3.37
Rashard Lewis	68	69	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.46	10	-6	16	16.2	17.5	-1.36	15.2	13.7	1.44
Ruben Patterson	58	59	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-6	16	16.8	16.0	0.79	15.1	14.4	0.69
Patrick Ewing	50	51	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-2	8	16.7	16.3	0.39	14.6	15.0	-0.38
Gary Payton	85	87	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-4	12	16.5	16.8	-0.35	15.0	12.7	2.30
Vin Baker	37	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	4	-4	16.2	16.7	-0.49	15.3	14.5	0.84
Jelani McCoy	33	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.01	-6	10	-16	16.0	16.8	-0.79	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Desmond Mason	27	28	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.09	-8	12	-20	17.4	16.1	1.34	13.5	15.4	-1.83
Brent Barry	36	36	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	-0.09	-14	18	-32	17.6	15.8	1.83	12.6	16.2	-3.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.23,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.46,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.63,0.83,0.83,1	91.1%
IND 82, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.58,1	90.8%
POR 94, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.12,0.17,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.74,1	90.6%