NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	7.9 [260]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +31.3%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	12.3 [116]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): -23.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	11	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	4	73%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04	-0.06	0.08	-0.02	12	53%	0.17	3	-0.13	8	62%	-0.03
Mitchell Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	15	58%	0.15	4	-0.22	3	67%	0.04
Reggie Jordan	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	0.03	-0.12	0.00	13	76%	0.05	6	-0.14	8	100%	0.05
Chris Dudley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	0.00	12	42%	-0.13	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.16	0.00	9	85%	0.31	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.03
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.01,0.19	0.19	-0.05	0.23	-0.01	20	51%	0.25	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.04
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.10	0.00	8	78%	0.23	6	-0.15	7	86%	0.06
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.04	-0.02	10	48%	0.09	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	27.3	14.7	26.2	2.4	40.7	136.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +55.3%

POR -25.5%

POR -15.5%

UTA +36.1%

POR -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	17.1	14.9	15.6	104.4	110.0	104.4
season	15.5	15.6		105.2	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.5		102.2	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	19.3	15.5	18.4	17.1
UTA	14.0	15.7	15.2	15.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Butler	14	14	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.08	8	-13	21	15.4	17.4	-1.93	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Aaron McKie	23	25	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.16	0	-5	5	20.9	15.7	5.18	15.5	14.7	0.74
Kenny Anderson	68	69	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.27	8	-13	21	16.7	18.2	-1.49	14.6	16.1	-1.56
Chris Dudley	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	6	-17	18.2	15.9	2.38	16.2	13.8	2.38
Gary Trent	61	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	17.5	16.1	1.35	15.3	14.3	0.97
Arvydas Sabonis	62	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-3	1	16.6	18.0	-1.42	15.0	14.9	0.03
Reggie Jordan	22	21	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.08	-13	8	-21	18.2	16.7	1.49	16.1	14.6	1.56
Clifford Robinson	86	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	17.0	19.0	-2.03	14.7	20.7	-6.08
Isaiah Rider	69	68	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.54	-7	2	-9	15.4	22.3	-6.88	14.1	17.5	-3.32

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	66	66	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.58	7	-2	9	14.1	17.2	-3.03	15.4	21.7	-6.34
Karl Malone	81	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-2	9	15.0	14.7	0.31	16.8	20.1	-3.37
Bryon Russell	71	70	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	3	-1	14.8	15.6	-0.87	16.3	19.6	-3.27
Antoine Carr	37	36	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	2	1	15.6	14.5	1.10	19.3	15.6	3.70
John Stockton	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.42	-3	8	-11	15.5	13.2	2.23	17.8	14.8	2.99
Howard Eisley	21	21	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	-3	11	13.2	15.5	-2.23	14.8	17.8	-2.99
Greg Foster	19	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.13	5	0	5	12.9	15.5	-2.60	18.3	16.7	1.53
Greg Ostertag	43	43	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	10	-15	15.2	14.7	0.55	15.2	18.7	-3.49
Adam Keefe	19	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	2	1	15.6	14.8	0.87	19.6	16.3	3.27
Chris Morris	5	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	6	-7	21.2	14.6	6.62	20.0	16.9	3.08
Shandon Anderson	19	20	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.20	-1	6	-7	16.1	14.6	1.47	22.0	15.6	6.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.12,0.17,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 87, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.57,0.58,1	91.9%
OKC 92, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.35,0.22,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.58,1	91.0%
IND 101, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.44,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.45,0.74,1	90.9%