NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	100		Excitement	5.3 [766]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): +17.3%
Brooklyn Nets	101		Comeback	1.3 [527]		LVP	Andray Blatche (BKN): -8.1%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.03	6	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Chris Bosh	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.04	8	71%	0.09	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.04
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.05	19	60%	0.13	5	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
Mario Chalmers	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	63%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	44%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Norris Cole	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.05	12	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	11	91%	0.02
Shane Battier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.07	0.04	8	86%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	62%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	68%	0.16	4	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	65%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	11	27%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	45%	0.01	2	-0.09	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	3.8	31.2	17.7	42.5	2.8	48.0	175.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +23.0%

BKN +6.3%

BKN +19.8%

MIA -6.3%

BKN +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BKN	NBA	MIA	BKN	NBA
this game	14.0	15.7	15.1	104.2	103.1	105.2
season	15.6	15.7		109.7	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.8		106.7	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.8	13.5	15.7	12.1	14.0
BKN	14.6	15.9	15.6	16.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	12	13	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.05	7	-8	15	12.4	14.2	-1.80	16.5	15.6	0.90
Norris Cole	35	35	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.14	5	-6	11	13.9	14.0	-0.16	16.1	15.5	0.58
Joel Anthony	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	3	-7	19.3	13.6	5.71	12.2	15.9	-3.75
Chris Andersen	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	0	-1	13.6	14.1	-0.54	14.5	16.2	-1.71
Udonis Haslem	19	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	7	-15	13.5	14.1	-0.58	15.3	15.8	-0.45
Ray Allen	57	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.51	10	-11	21	13.8	14.3	-0.54	16.3	14.8	1.45
Shane Battier	28	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	6	-13	15.5	13.4	2.13	15.9	15.6	0.25
Mario Chalmers	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	2	-5	13.9	14.2	-0.34	15.8	15.4	0.48
Chris Bosh	68	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-1	1	14.1	13.6	0.54	16.0	14.9	1.10
Dwyane Wade	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	0	-1	13.7	15.2	-1.52	15.2	17.5	-2.34
LeBron James	84	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	2	-5	13.9	14.5	-0.58	15.7	15.2	0.49

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	59	55	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-5	11	15.6	15.8	-0.18	13.6	14.5	-0.87
Paul Pierce	64	62	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	-1	3	15.9	15.2	0.73	14.0	13.9	0.07
Deron Williams	57	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	0	1	15.6	15.8	-0.21	14.1	13.9	0.15
Kevin Garnett	55	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	-1	3	14.7	16.9	-2.14	13.7	14.4	-0.70
Reggie Evans	11	11	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	-5	11	16.5	15.6	0.87	15.1	13.8	1.24
Andray Blatche	49	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	0	1	16.3	15.0	1.29	14.4	13.6	0.90
Brook Lopez	43	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	0	1	15.5	15.8	-0.35	14.1	13.9	0.27
Shaun Livingston	41	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	1	-1	15.8	15.6	0.21	13.9	14.1	-0.15
Jason Terry	37	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	3	-5	16.2	15.4	0.86	14.1	13.9	0.24
Andrei Kirilenko	24	24	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	1	-1	15.3	15.8	-0.52	14.1	13.9	0.18
Alan Anderson	50	52	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.35	-12	13	-25	15.6	15.7	-0.09	13.7	14.3	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
SAS 99, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.75,0.85,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.1%
CHH 87, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.9%