NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	87		Excitement	5.6 [723]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +20.8%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	1.6 [1061]		LVP	Jason Maxiell (ORL): -12.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.01	10	90%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.08	13	52%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	14	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Victor Oladipo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	44%	0.03	3	-0.09	5	60%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	13	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.04	-0.06	11	36%	-0.01	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.14	-0.02	16	62%	0.27	4	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.00	4	90%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.01	7	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.04	12	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	35%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
David West	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	11	48%	0.06	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	27.2	16.3	33.4	2.5	31.6	138.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.6%

IND +11.2%

ORL -9.4%

IND +1.7%

ORL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	15.1	15.1	91.6	101.0	105.2
season	15.3	15.8		100.4	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		99.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	14.7	17.7	14.8	15.0
IND	15.8	17.4	12.3	15.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	29	29	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.26	10	-20	30	13.4	15.7	-2.30	15.6	15.0	0.63
Solomon Jones	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	11.3	15.4	-4.15	18.6	14.7	3.86
Ronnie Price	17	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-16	22	12.4	15.6	-3.17	15.6	15.0	0.61
Andrew Nicholson	38	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-10	10	15.0	15.0	-0.02	16.1	14.5	1.52
Jameer Nelson	59	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	1	-12	16.0	13.4	2.57	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Maurice Harkless	46	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-7	4	13.7	16.2	-2.51	16.0	14.3	1.71
E'Twaun Moore	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-13	16	14.0	16.2	-2.22	15.9	14.2	1.70
Victor Oladipo	48	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	1	-12	15.6	14.4	1.12	13.2	17.0	-3.79
Jason Maxiell	52	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	5	-20	15.8	14.1	1.68	14.6	15.8	-1.24
Arron Afflalo	64	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	4	-18	16.1	12.7	3.46	15.3	14.7	0.60
Nikola Vucevic	61	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.07	-22	12	-34	15.7	13.7	2.03	14.3	16.7	-2.42

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Orlando Johnson	33	32	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-1	12	13.2	16.1	-2.90	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Paul George	72	73	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	-1	12	14.7	16.6	-1.92	14.8	15.7	-0.87
David West	60	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-1	12	15.2	15.1	0.06	15.2	14.7	0.42
Lance Stephenson	70	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-1	12	15.7	13.8	1.89	15.6	13.5	2.14
Roy Hibbert	54	54	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	-5	20	14.6	15.9	-1.35	15.4	14.5	0.92
George Hill	58	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	5	0	15.1	15.2	-0.11	14.6	15.7	-1.09
CJ Watson	40	39	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	8	-6	15.3	15.0	0.26	15.5	14.7	0.77
Ian Mahinmi	34	33	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	11	-12	15.2	15.1	0.05	15.3	14.9	0.40
Luis Scola	42	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	12	-14	15.8	14.7	1.10	14.2	15.6	-1.39
Rasual Butler	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	17.0	15.1	1.89	11.5	15.1	-3.59
Solomon Hill	15	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	20	-30	19.0	14.4	4.57	14.5	15.1	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.96,1,1,1	93.9%
DET 86, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	93.8%
LAC 92, TOR 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%