NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	5.3 [744]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +32.4%
Toronto Raptors	114		Comeback	2.5 [863]		LVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): -15.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.02	13	61%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.04	16	52%	0.11	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	20	48%	0.02	4	-0.09	6	33%	-0.08
Eric Gordon	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	13	30%	-0.07	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.24	0.09	0.00	17	72%	0.36	1	-0.03	13	77%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	7	79%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.03	0.05	8	106%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	79%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	80%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	0.04	19	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	25.4	16.8	27.2	2.4	27.5	126.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +43.0%

TOR +14.7%

LAC -8.2%

TOR +2.6%

LAC -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	TOR	NBA	LAC	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.3	101.1	126.7	106.0
season	15.5	15.0		101.9	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		111.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.0	15.6	15.4	17.5	16.3
TOR	15.1	16.4	14.0	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	50	50	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.02	1	-23	24	15.4	17.3	-1.90	16.3	14.6	1.71
Bobby Brown	16	16	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-25	28	20.0	15.5	4.49	14.6	15.7	-1.17
Steve Novak	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.02	1	-23	24	0.0	16.5	-16.48	8.0	15.6	-7.61
Craig Smith	39	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-21	20	15.9	16.6	-0.61	16.3	14.9	1.34
Travis Outlaw	29	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-14	6	16.9	16.0	0.93	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Rasual Butler	82	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.19	-18	-4	-14	15.9	19.9	-3.99	15.8	12.9	2.93
Chris Kaman	68	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	-4	-14	16.4	16.0	0.46	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Eric Gordon	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	-4	-14	16.5	15.6	0.89	15.2	16.7	-1.54
Steve Blake	75	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.23	-25	3	-28	15.5	20.0	-4.49	15.7	14.6	1.17
DeAndre Jordan	24	24	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.15	-27	5	-32	19.0	15.3	3.67	13.3	16.3	-3.04

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	58	57	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.27	27	-5	32	15.4	15.8	-0.40	16.9	15.3	1.65
Chris Bosh	71	72	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	9	4	15.3	16.2	-0.87	16.7	14.7	2.04
Reggie Evans	25	24	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	4	14	15.8	15.4	0.38	16.3	16.3	0.05
Antoine Wright	52	52	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	10	2	15.3	15.8	-0.55	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Jarrett Jack	33	33	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	15	-8	14.5	16.1	-1.54	17.6	15.6	2.01
Andrea Bargnani	66	67	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.16	15	7	8	15.4	15.9	-0.54	15.9	17.3	-1.35
Jose Calderon	57	58	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.24	15	7	8	16.1	14.5	1.54	15.6	17.6	-2.01
DeMar DeRozan	38	39	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.16	10	12	-2	15.8	15.3	0.55	16.6	16.1	0.51
Hedo Turkoglu	32	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	27	-32	15.8	15.4	0.40	15.3	16.9	-1.65
Amir Johnson	18	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.12	-2	24	-26	16.4	15.3	1.08	15.9	16.4	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 87, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
SAS 101, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
NOH 84, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%