NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	5.6 [727]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): +27.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	1.6 [877]		LVP	Deron Williams (NJN): -8.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.04	-0.04	21	54%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Sundiata Gaines	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	4	37%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	13	51%	0.05	5	-0.13	9	89%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.26	0.06	0.05	13	100%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.04	-0.01	16	76%	0.25	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.03	10	68%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	14	53%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.09	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	27.0	15.4	23.4	1.7	30.0	123.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +51.0%

NJN -1.0%

NJN -6.6%

MIL +5.5%

MIL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	14.7	17.4	15.5	106.7	122.2	105.7
season	16.4	16.2		101.6	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		100.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.3	14.8	15.0	14.9	14.7
MIL	15.6	17.3	18.6	18.5	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	11.0	14.8	-3.78	20.0	17.4	2.61
Brandan Wright	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	11.0	14.8	-3.78	20.0	17.4	2.61
Damion James	42	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.19	-10	-5	-5	14.2	15.2	-1.04	16.7	18.1	-1.40
Johan Petro	21	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-9	3	13.8	15.0	-1.22	16.0	17.9	-1.97
Sundiata Gaines	23	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-7	-1	15.1	14.6	0.52	17.0	17.5	-0.49
Jordan Farmar	32	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-11	7	15.1	14.5	0.60	18.0	17.1	0.98
Travis Outlaw	28	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-11	7	14.4	14.9	-0.51	17.9	17.2	0.67
Brook Lopez	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-6	-3	15.0	13.8	1.22	17.9	16.0	1.97
Anthony Morrow	52	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-7	-1	14.9	14.5	0.34	17.9	16.8	1.02
Sasha Vujacic	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-10	5	15.2	14.2	0.95	17.0	17.9	-0.93
Kris Humphries	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-5	-5	15.0	14.2	0.72	17.3	17.7	-0.48
Deron Williams	67	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-8	1	14.4	15.8	-1.37	17.5	17.0	0.49

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Jennings	81	79	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.10	18	-3	21	17.6	16.2	1.33	14.5	16.8	-2.32
John Salmons	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	0	15	17.6	16.7	0.88	14.3	16.5	-2.20
Luc Mbah a Moute	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	0	15	17.5	17.3	0.11	15.1	14.0	1.13
Jon Brockman	30	29	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.11	9	6	3	17.2	17.5	-0.33	15.5	14.4	1.10
Carlos Delfino	85	84	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	5	5	17.3	19.6	-2.31	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Andrew Bogut	65	65	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	6	3	17.8	16.5	1.30	14.8	14.6	0.16
Keyon Dooling	25	24	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	11	-7	16.7	17.7	-0.97	15.6	14.4	1.21
Larry Sanders	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	17	-19	17.3	17.5	-0.20	13.2	15.2	-2.01
Earl Boykins	9	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	18	-21	16.2	17.6	-1.33	16.8	14.5	2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 82, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.91,1	94.4%
ORL 87, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
UTA 103, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	93.6%