NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	82		Excitement	5.8 [654]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +13.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	2.0 [638]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -11.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	21	54%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	14	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lavor Postell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	14	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.07	0.06	0.00	6	75%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	14	53%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.10	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	4	-0.12	14	71%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	16	41%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	32.6	15.0	21.1	2.3	31.7	129.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.3%

PHI +13.2%

PHI +8.9%

NYK -6.3%

PHI +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	17.1	17.1	15.6	98.8	105.9	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		99.6	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		98.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	17.2	19.8	15.5	17.1
PHI	17.2	17.1	16.2	18.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Knight	9	9	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-8	8	19.9	16.8	3.08	18.1	17.0	1.08
Lavor Postell	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-7	6	10.5	17.5	-6.98	12.0	17.4	-5.40
Felton Spencer	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-6	4	17.6	16.9	0.72	16.6	17.4	-0.75
Kurt Thomas	41	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-11	14	16.4	17.9	-1.49	18.4	15.8	2.68
Howard Eisley	25	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-7	6	17.9	16.8	1.05	18.6	16.5	2.07
Shandon Anderson	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-4	0	16.8	17.5	-0.73	17.1	17.2	-0.14
Mark Jackson	58	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	16.8	17.9	-1.05	16.5	18.6	-2.07
Allan Houston	52	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	3	-14	17.8	16.0	1.88	16.6	18.0	-1.43
Clar. Weatherspoon	79	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	0	-8	17.1	18.0	-0.90	17.1	17.0	0.15
Latrell Sprewell	78	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	1	-10	17.2	16.8	0.37	17.1	17.2	-0.11

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	68	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-4	16	16.9	18.2	-1.37	17.2	16.8	0.40
Eric Snow	74	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-7	22	17.4	15.3	2.15	17.3	16.4	0.90
Dikembe Mutombo	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	-2	12	17.5	15.9	1.61	17.9	14.3	3.58
Corie Blount	31	30	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	2	4	17.1	17.2	-0.12	17.1	17.2	-0.02
Aaron McKie	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-1	10	15.8	18.3	-2.54	16.4	17.8	-1.38
Derrick Coleman	66	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	3	2	17.7	15.3	2.35	17.2	16.8	0.39
Derrick McKey	22	23	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	7	-6	17.7	16.9	0.79	16.8	17.3	-0.50
Matt Harpring	47	44	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	12	-16	18.2	15.8	2.40	17.4	16.9	0.51
Samuel Dalembert	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	8.0	17.2	-9.25	9.0	17.2	-8.24
Alvin Jones	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	8.0	17.2	-9.25	9.0	17.2	-8.24
Raja Bell	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	12	-16	5.2	17.7	-12.48	12.5	17.4	-4.88
Vonteego Cummings	6	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.09	-6	14	-20	16.8	17.2	-0.33	16.1	17.2	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.96,1,1,1	94.4%
ORL 78, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.2%
POR 88, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%