NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	9.7 [82]		MVP	Cartier Martin (WAS): +18.1%
Brooklyn Nets	106		Comeback	6.3 [311]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -28.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.27,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	8	78%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	12	67%	0.22	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	4	67%	0.13	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.11	-0.01	12	68%	0.15	2	-0.18	1	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.07	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
A.J. Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
John Wall	-0.29	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.15,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29	-0.13	-0.18	-0.02	19	36%	-0.22	3	-0.06	12	67%	-0.11

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.23,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.01	10	61%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	17	53%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kris Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	1	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	73%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Tornike Shengelia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	13	38%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Andray Blatche	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	0.00	21	41%	0.07	2	-0.06	7	29%	-0.16
Tyshawn Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	8	78%	0.20	4	-0.21	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	22%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.06
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	13	46%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.4	25.8	15.0	26.8	1.6	33.2	125.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -12.2%

BKN +5.3%

BKN +29.4%

BKN +24.1%

BKN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BKN	NBA	WAS	BKN	NBA
this game	14.5	16.5	15.4	108.6	114.0	104.1
season	15.1	16.5		98.8	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.2	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	14.2	13.8	15.4	14.5
BKN	17.6	15.8	16.8	15.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	19	18	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.13	13	-18	31	14.8	14.4	0.46	17.6	16.2	1.38
A.J. Price	37	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.18	-9	4	-13	15.1	14.1	1.05	15.1	17.5	-2.44
Garrett Temple	76	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.26	5	-10	15	14.3	15.2	-0.93	16.4	17.1	-0.70
Cartier Martin	59	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.35	7	-12	19	14.1	15.1	-0.92	18.2	13.3	4.90
Jan Vesely	54	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	9	-23	14.7	14.2	0.51	15.3	18.1	-2.81
Trevor Booker	65	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-9	13	14.4	14.5	-0.09	16.4	16.7	-0.28
John Wall	65	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-5	5	14.1	15.3	-1.16	17.2	14.7	2.50
Kevin Seraphin	48	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.21	-13	8	-21	14.1	14.8	-0.72	17.5	15.3	2.13
Chris Singleton	42	41	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.13	-18	13	-31	15.2	13.8	1.39	14.3	18.2	-3.85

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tornike Shengelia	51	51	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.28	19	-14	33	15.5	17.8	-2.31	14.7	14.2	0.43
Kris Joseph	37	37	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-7	19	15.9	16.9	-1.05	15.5	13.8	1.64
Mirza Teletovic	49	48	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.28	15	-10	25	15.4	17.7	-2.25	14.5	14.4	0.06
Tyshawn Taylor	44	44	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	16.7	16.3	0.31	15.5	13.6	1.86
Andray Blatche	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	1	3	17.2	14.1	3.10	14.2	15.3	-1.11
CJ Watson	49	49	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	9	-13	16.3	16.7	-0.31	13.6	15.5	-1.86
MarShon Brooks	55	55	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	13	-21	17.5	15.0	2.53	13.9	15.3	-1.34
Kris Humphries	65	67	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.08	-9	14	-23	16.5	16.4	0.09	14.7	13.8	0.92
Gerald Wallace	43	43	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.03	-13	18	-31	17.0	16.1	0.85	14.1	14.8	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.27,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.85,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 104, MIN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.45,0.68,0.58,1	91.9%
BOS 83, WAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.55,0.77,0.58,1	90.8%
ORL 103, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.95,1	90.8%