NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	8.1 [233]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +9.1%
Washington Wizards	85		Comeback	4.7 [108]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -48.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	13	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	11	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Marquis Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Von Wafer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	12	52%	0.06	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	15	48%	-0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.48	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.48	0.00	-0.46	0.02	10	50%	-0.46	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	59%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.08	0.01	12	59%	0.36	5	-0.31	3	33%	-0.02
Mustafa Shakur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	12	42%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.04	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	0.02	-0.22	0.02	13	60%	-0.04	3	-0.18	4	100%	0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.02	13	19%	-0.21	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.0	35.2	15.8	28.2	2.7	29.1	139.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +57.4%

WAS +4.9%

WAS +14.9%

BOS -29.4%

WAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	15.5	95.4	97.7	105.7
season	15.7	15.1		104.8	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.8		108.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.8	17.4	18.3	20.1	17.0
WAS	16.5	16.1	16.0	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Semih Erden	46	49	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-7	12	16.8	17.2	-0.46	15.3	17.2	-1.92
Von Wafer	15	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	2	-6	20.5	16.2	4.30	12.9	16.8	-3.91
Nate Robinson	25	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.14	-8	6	-14	18.4	16.4	1.94	13.4	17.1	-3.72
Marquis Daniels	43	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	2	-6	19.4	14.6	4.83	15.5	16.7	-1.22
Paul Pierce	49	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.44	3	-5	8	15.0	19.5	-4.43	16.4	15.8	0.60
Kevin Garnett	64	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.42	2	-4	6	15.9	20.0	-4.05	17.5	12.7	4.84
Rajon Rondo	62	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.58	6	-8	14	16.4	18.4	-1.94	17.1	13.4	3.72
Ray Allen	67	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-3	4	16.0	20.1	-4.12	17.1	13.0	4.06
Glen Davis	64	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.34	-11	9	-20	18.2	13.6	4.64	15.4	18.0	-2.59

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	62	63	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.47	1	1	0	16.4	15.5	0.91	17.1	16.7	0.31
JaVale McGee	68	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	3	-4	16.4	15.1	1.37	17.0	16.9	0.11
Andray Blatche	58	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	3	-4	16.8	14.8	2.05	16.2	18.7	-2.56
John Wall	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.55	-4	6	-10	16.8	13.6	3.19	16.6	18.2	-1.51
Nick Young	75	73	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.53	-6	8	-14	16.1	16.4	-0.34	16.3	20.4	-4.11
Cartier Martin	12	14	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	-6	14	16.4	16.1	0.34	20.4	16.3	4.11
Trevor Booker	7	6	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	1	0	15.3	16.2	-0.91	23.8	16.5	7.36
Mustafa Shakur	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	-4	10	13.6	16.8	-3.19	18.2	16.6	1.51
Kevin Seraphin	19	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	-1	4	15.1	16.4	-1.37	16.9	17.0	-0.11
Al Thornton	30	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	-1	4	15.5	16.5	-1.01	17.3	16.8	0.50
Yi Jianlian	17	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	2	-2	14.4	16.6	-2.20	16.5	17.1	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.55,0.77,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.72,0.84,0.73,1	93.3%
MIL 104, MIN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.45,0.68,0.58,1	91.4%
OKC 92, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.35,0.22,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.58,1	91.0%