NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	7.6 [308]		MVP	Hakim Warrick (MEM): +29.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	108		Comeback	6.4 [213]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (IND): -31.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	19	65%	0.28	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.02	7	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	16	65%	0.17	4	-0.10	8	50%	-0.04
Brandon Rush	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.12,-0.31	-0.10	-0.22	-0.01	8	37%	0.04	4	-0.35	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.10	0.20	-0.00	13	60%	0.30	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.09
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.14	-0.00	10	64%	0.21	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.21	3	-0.16	3	67%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	11	36%	-0.09
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	59%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	17	47%	-0.11	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	33.1	15.7	32.0	1.8	33.2	141.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -19.6%

MEM +12.0%

MEM +18.4%

MEM +37.1%

MEM +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MEM	NBA	IND	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	17.0	15.5	114.1	117.4	106.4
season	14.1	16.1		106.5	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.3		107.6	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	14.6	13.0	15.9	14.3
MEM	16.8	16.7	16.4	18.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	58	57	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-9	15	13.7	15.2	-1.50	16.8	17.5	-0.67
Roy Hibbert	25	25	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-7	11	12.8	14.8	-1.95	15.5	17.6	-2.15
Jeff Foster	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	1	-5	15.7	13.7	1.94	16.3	17.4	-1.11
Travis Diener	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-3	3	13.7	14.5	-0.79	18.4	16.5	1.89
Troy Murphy	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.50	5	-8	13	14.5	13.7	0.75	17.5	15.8	1.71
Rasho Nesterovic	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	4	-11	15.0	13.3	1.66	17.7	16.3	1.40
Jarrett Jack	68	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-2	1	14.2	14.3	-0.04	16.8	17.6	-0.79
Marquis Daniels	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	0	-3	14.1	14.8	-0.75	17.1	16.7	0.38
Brandon Rush	64	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.27	-15	12	-27	14.4	14.0	0.43	16.8	17.7	-0.88

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	50	50	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.31	13	-10	23	17.4	16.6	0.74	14.8	13.6	1.18
Mike Conley	49	52	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	-2	7	17.6	16.5	1.09	15.1	13.1	2.01
O.J. Mayo	84	85	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.45	1	2	-1	17.1	16.2	0.87	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Rudy Gay	77	76	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.45	1	2	-1	16.9	17.5	-0.59	14.3	14.1	0.16
Marc Gasol	44	45	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	2	-1	16.7	17.4	-0.65	15.3	13.3	2.01
Greg Buckner	25	25	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	-1	5	18.0	16.7	1.37	13.0	14.7	-1.73
Darko Milicic	36	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	-2	7	16.7	17.3	-0.62	13.3	14.8	-1.53
Kyle Lowry	43	40	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	5	-7	16.5	17.6	-1.09	13.1	15.1	-2.01
Quinton Ross	21	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.13	0	3	-3	17.4	16.9	0.50	15.3	13.9	1.39
Darrell Arthur	31	31	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.17	-13	16	-29	16.4	17.4	-0.99	13.5	14.7	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.72,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 83, WAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.55,0.77,0.58,1	93.3%
WAS 96, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.28,0.38,0.83,0.86,0.92,1	91.6%
SAC 118, DEN 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.25,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.83,0.9,0.96,1	91.0%