NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	2.9 [1221]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +11.5%
New York Knicks	120		Comeback	1.1 [1264]		LVP	Chris Singleton (WAS): -5.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	-0.01	0.09	19	63%	0.06	4	-0.06	14	79%	-0.00
Martell Webster	-0.00	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.11	-0.00	0.14	12	67%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Singleton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.25	0.00	0.14	21	71%	0.11	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	10	90%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	11	71%	0.07	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.03	14	55%	0.02	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.6	31.8	15.7	28.4	1.5	26.7	131.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +55.5%

WAS -2.7%

WAS -6.2%

NYK +2.7%

NYK +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	15.4	105.3	130.4	104.1
season	15.1	16.2		98.8	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.9	15.2	16.5	14.7	14.8
NYK	14.8	17.6	17.0	15.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jan Vesely	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-28	35	14.5	14.8	-0.32	16.6	16.1	0.44
Trevor Booker	13	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-18	15	16.9	14.4	2.52	15.7	16.3	-0.65
Cartier Martin	40	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-19	17	13.4	15.7	-2.27	16.7	15.9	0.81
Garrett Temple	58	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-25	29	14.7	14.9	-0.26	16.8	15.3	1.48
Kevin Seraphin	39	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-19	17	15.2	14.4	0.77	15.0	17.1	-2.14
Emeka Okafor	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.28	-18	-3	-15	15.0	14.6	0.44	16.5	16.0	0.54
Chris Singleton	45	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.32	-20	-1	-19	15.4	14.2	1.24	15.2	17.1	-1.87
Nene	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-8	-5	15.1	14.4	0.67	17.3	15.2	2.05
A.J. Price	53	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-5	-11	14.7	14.8	-0.09	15.4	17.3	-1.88
Martell Webster	52	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	-6	-9	14.7	14.8	-0.10	16.7	15.6	1.07
John Wall	66	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.34	-27	6	-33	14.2	16.0	-1.72	16.2	16.2	-0.03

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	59	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.22	23	-2	25	16.5	15.8	0.69	14.1	15.9	-1.78
Raymond Felton	59	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.22	23	-2	25	16.5	15.8	0.69	14.1	15.9	-1.78
Jason Kidd	45	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	4	13	14.7	17.7	-2.93	14.5	15.0	-0.45
Kenyon Martin	34	34	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.13	14	7	7	16.0	16.4	-0.41	17.3	13.3	4.02
J.R. Smith	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	11	-1	16.4	15.8	0.59	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Pablo Prigioni	19	20	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.17	14	7	7	15.8	16.3	-0.49	17.6	14.0	3.61
Chris Copeland	57	59	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	18	-15	15.6	17.3	-1.66	14.9	14.6	0.29
Steve Novak	43	44	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	18	-15	16.8	15.7	1.06	14.4	15.1	-0.74
Iman Shumpert	45	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	18	-15	17.2	15.3	1.90	14.6	14.9	-0.38
James White	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	17.8	16.0	1.85	14.3	14.8	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NOH 88, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
WAS 85, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%