NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	102		Excitement	4.0 [1046]		MVP	Mo Williams (UTA): +22.4%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	1.0 [1268]		LVP	Meyers Leonard (POR): -5.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.20	0.02	0.09	13	82%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Victor Claver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	86%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Damian Lillard	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	16	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	1	125%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	63%	0.04	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.05	-0.01	12	83%	0.24	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	21	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.00	0.08	7	82%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	5	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	26.2	15.7	26.3	1.8	27.2	122.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +8.7%

UTA +6.8%

UTA +4.6%

UTA +24.2%

UTA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	17.1	15.4	114.6	127.3	104.1
season	15.8	16.0		104.3	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.3	14.6	14.7	15.1	15.4
UTA	13.5	19.0	16.0	20.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nolan Smith	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	11.0	15.7	-4.68	25.0	16.7	8.34
Will Barton	9	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-16	22	11.6	15.8	-4.29	24.4	16.4	7.96
Joel Freeland	30	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-13	16	14.6	15.8	-1.28	17.9	16.7	1.21
Victor Claver	52	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.45	13	-23	36	13.7	17.8	-4.15	19.1	14.4	4.70
Eric Maynor	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-9	8	15.0	15.8	-0.75	16.9	17.4	-0.56
Meyers Leonard	70	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-8	6	15.3	15.7	-0.41	17.5	16.0	1.41
Wesley Matthews	56	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	5	-20	17.1	12.5	4.66	17.0	17.3	-0.32
JJ Hickson	47	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	10	-30	17.0	13.7	3.27	15.3	19.2	-3.95
Damian Lillard	74	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	6	-22	15.5	15.1	0.34	16.3	21.4	-5.10
Nicolas Batum	57	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.05	-21	11	-32	15.8	14.7	1.04	15.7	19.5	-3.76

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	55	57	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-10	30	15.9	19.2	-3.32	15.8	14.8	0.94
Gordon Hayward	52	54	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.15	24	-14	38	16.3	18.3	-1.93	15.9	14.7	1.20
Al Jefferson	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-5	20	15.8	19.7	-3.94	15.7	14.8	0.89
Randy Foye	46	47	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-7	24	15.2	19.2	-4.02	16.9	13.7	3.18
Paul Millsap	68	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-1	12	16.9	18.0	-1.12	16.2	12.7	3.44
Derrick Favors	52	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	7	-4	17.3	16.9	0.42	14.7	16.5	-1.87
Alec Burks	40	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	15	-20	18.8	15.7	3.10	14.0	16.5	-2.47
DeMarre Carroll	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.27	-9	19	-28	22.9	16.1	6.80	13.1	15.8	-2.70
Jeremy Evans	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	25.0	16.7	8.34	11.0	15.7	-4.68
Kevin Murphy	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	33.0	17.0	16.05	5.5	15.6	-10.14
Jamaal Tinsley	13	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	17	-24	16.5	17.2	-0.70	14.4	15.6	-1.15
Marvin Williams	16	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.15	-11	21	-32	17.9	17.0	0.98	15.5	15.4	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 76, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 82, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CHH 73, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%