NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	73		Excitement	4.0 [980]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): +15.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Comeback	1.1 [985]		LVP	Mark West (CLE): -9.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
George Zidek	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	53%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Addison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.03	-0.07	7	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	4	57%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03
Glen Rice	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	18	47%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	4	45%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Tony Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	12	77%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	14	53%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	13	56%	0.10	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.10	0.00	0.11	9	85%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	21	48%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	6	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	1.8	26.3	15.5	25.4	1.7	27.2	117.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +11.9%

CLE +4.3%

CLE +19.5%

CLE +8.4%

CLE +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CLE	NBA	CHH	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	17.1	15.6	81.1	120.5	104.4
season	15.7	17.8		108.0	102.1
opponent	16.1	16.0		100.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	17.0	15.7	14.0	14.7	15.3
CLE	18.1	17.8	19.6	13.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafael Addison	36	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-24	15	13.8	16.3	-2.47	14.5	18.7	-4.22
Malik Rose	19	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.35	-12	-21	9	11.5	16.3	-4.77	13.4	18.0	-4.63
George Zidek	31	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.28	-14	-19	5	13.3	16.3	-3.00	15.2	18.0	-2.80
Dell Curry	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-25	17	16.3	14.5	1.75	17.9	16.4	1.49
Anthony Goldwire	43	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.49	-24	-9	-15	14.7	15.9	-1.18	15.6	18.4	-2.73
Tony Delk	66	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.32	-21	-12	-9	14.6	17.2	-2.56	17.3	16.6	0.71
Tony Smith	26	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-19	5	16.0	15.0	1.00	18.1	16.7	1.40
Vlade Divac	54	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	-15	-3	16.8	13.0	3.77	17.7	16.0	1.70
Anthony Mason	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	-14	-5	16.1	12.3	3.78	17.9	14.1	3.82
Glen Rice	66	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.20	-26	-7	-19	16.2	12.8	3.41	18.7	12.5	6.19

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	66	67	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.22	26	7	19	18.4	13.3	5.09	16.0	13.1	2.96
Terrell Brandon	60	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.16	24	9	15	17.9	15.3	2.60	16.4	12.9	3.48
Bobby Phills	80	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.09	20	13	7	17.6	11.5	6.15	15.4	14.3	1.06
Bob Sura	69	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	20	-7	17.9	14.2	3.74	15.1	15.9	-0.85
Mark West	49	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	21	-9	18.2	15.6	2.60	15.8	14.7	1.16
Donny Marshall	36	38	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.49	20	13	7	15.0	18.6	-3.59	14.4	16.0	-1.59
Danny Ferry	43	44	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.13	7	26	-19	16.7	17.5	-0.77	15.6	15.0	0.68
Shawnelle Scott	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	22	-11	10.2	17.6	-7.43	11.0	15.6	-4.60
Reggie Geary	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	22	-11	10.2	17.6	-7.43	11.0	15.6	-4.60
Vitaly Potapenko	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	23	-13	10.2	18.2	-7.92	11.2	16.0	-4.83
Antonio Lang	13	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.33	11	22	-11	14.6	17.5	-2.90	14.3	15.5	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 74, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
VAN 72, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
POR 87, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.76,0.68,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%