NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	4.5 [958]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +16.7%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.1 [858]		LVP	Patty Mills (POR): -11.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	16	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	12	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	10	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	13	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Patty Mills	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	10	27%	-0.05	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	13	69%	0.20	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	78%	0.07	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
James Posey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	8	46%	0.03	4	-0.06	12	92%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	11	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	2.7	32.1	15.7	29.2	2.6	31.4	144.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.6%

IND +7.5%

IND +14.1%

POR -2.0%

POR -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	14.6	15.5	88.8	103.1	105.7
season	16.5	14.7		106.7	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.0	14.4	17.7	12.8	14.9
IND	11.1	15.6	15.0	17.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Marks	22	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-17	21	11.5	15.9	-4.38	17.8	13.6	4.17
Luke Babbitt	16	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-13	13	9.9	15.9	-6.05	14.9	14.5	0.40
Joel Przybilla	39	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-5	-3	17.5	13.2	4.32	13.3	15.4	-2.06
Patty Mills	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-11	9	12.7	16.0	-3.25	12.7	15.6	-2.90
Dante Cunningham	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-8	3	13.8	15.6	-1.73	14.8	14.5	0.32
Rudy Fernandez	76	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-10	7	14.5	16.4	-1.90	14.8	14.0	0.71
Andre Miller	59	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	15.8	13.6	2.24	16.0	12.4	3.54
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-4	-5	15.7	13.5	2.20	13.8	16.2	-2.42
Wesley Matthews	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	0	-13	15.9	12.6	3.26	14.9	13.7	1.19
Nicolas Batum	77	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	7	-27	15.3	13.6	1.74	14.0	16.5	-2.46

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	50	50	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-5	23	13.5	15.7	-2.22	16.0	13.8	2.25
Darren Collison	58	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-2	17	13.2	16.6	-3.37	15.0	14.8	0.20
Danny Granger	70	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	0	13	13.7	17.0	-3.28	15.8	12.9	2.90
Roy Hibbert	42	44	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-3	19	12.9	15.9	-3.03	16.8	13.4	3.41
Tyler Hansbrough	60	59	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	9	-5	14.8	14.3	0.49	13.9	16.5	-2.57
James Posey	8	8	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	5	3	13.9	14.7	-0.79	14.5	15.0	-0.48
Jeff Foster	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	9	-5	16.0	13.5	2.56	14.2	15.5	-1.38
Dahntay Jones	28	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	13	-13	17.0	13.6	3.33	12.8	15.9	-3.08
Josh McRoberts	40	40	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	17	-21	15.1	14.2	0.85	15.9	14.3	1.62
A.J. Price	39	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	15	-17	16.6	13.2	3.37	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Paul George	47	49	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	20	-27	15.4	13.9	1.52	13.4	16.4	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.76,0.68,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
GSW 78, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
VAN 72, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%