NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	78		Excitement	4.5 [555]		MVP	Terry Cummings (GSW): +8.7%
Phoenix Suns	93		Comeback	1.3 [648]		LVP	John Starks (GSW): -21.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Cummings	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	7	82%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	11	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	5	33%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	54%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	7	14%	-0.07	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.04	11	9%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	13	50%	-0.03	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
John Starks	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.19	-0.04	-0.02	11	17%	-0.12	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	15	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	4	10%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.05
Gerald Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	29.4	15.5	24.3	1.5	28.4	125.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.9%

GSW -0.3%

GSW -1.7%

PHX +15.4%

PHX +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	15.8	78.0	92.1	99.6
season	15.9	15.3		95.1	102.7
opponent	15.9	15.5		101.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.9	12.4	16.0	13.5	13.9
PHX	13.8	15.3	15.3	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	38	36	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.26	10	-25	35	11.4	15.4	-4.03	15.4	14.5	0.90
Muggsy Bogues	40	39	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-14	13	14.2	13.6	0.63	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Erick Dampier	47	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-15	15	12.6	15.0	-2.48	16.1	13.6	2.52
Tony Delk	31	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-15	15	13.9	13.8	0.09	13.8	15.2	-1.37
Antawn Jamison	61	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-16	17	12.4	16.2	-3.87	15.0	14.5	0.45
Felton Spencer	15	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-12	9	12.3	14.1	-1.81	14.6	14.8	-0.26
Jason Caffey	40	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	0	-15	15.1	13.0	2.09	13.7	15.6	-1.85
Terry Cummings	38	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	-3	-9	16.1	12.5	3.61	13.1	15.7	-2.60
Donyell Marshall	45	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-12	9	14.4	13.4	0.96	14.1	15.3	-1.21
John Starks	52	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-1	-13	13.2	14.6	-1.49	16.0	13.4	2.62
Chris Mills	41	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	2	-19	16.5	12.1	4.40	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Bimbo Coles	52	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.10	-21	6	-27	14.4	13.3	1.07	15.4	14.1	1.29

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	63	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.22	28	-13	41	14.7	14.9	-0.26	14.1	13.5	0.55
Clifford Robinson	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.04	19	-4	23	15.6	12.9	2.66	14.0	13.5	0.51
Jason Kidd	78	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.26	25	-10	35	15.4	12.6	2.87	14.2	12.7	1.53
Luc Longley	64	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.12	20	-5	25	15.6	13.4	2.17	13.7	14.2	-0.46
Toby Bailey	46	46	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	7	1	14.8	14.8	-0.04	14.0	13.7	0.28
Chris Morris	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	8	-1	15.1	14.6	0.48	14.8	13.3	1.47
Gerald Brown	23	24	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.32	-10	25	-35	12.6	15.4	-2.87	12.7	14.2	-1.53
George McCloud	51	49	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	21	-27	14.2	15.4	-1.22	13.7	14.1	-0.43
Danny Manning	43	45	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.10	4	11	-7	14.7	14.9	-0.19	14.5	13.3	1.21
Joe Kleine	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	25	-35	12.2	15.1	-2.87	8.4	14.4	-5.96
Pat Garrity	18	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.21	-10	25	-35	11.9	15.4	-3.45	12.5	14.2	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIA 72, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAS 101, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%