NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	4.0 [1037]		MVP	Carl Landry (GSW): +20.3%
Golden State Warriors	125		Comeback	1.7 [1158]		LVP	Joel Freeland (POR): -5.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
JJ Hickson	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	-0.01	0.10	17	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Will Barton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	5	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Eric Maynor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joel Freeland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.24	0.03	0.07	10	89%	0.20	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.27	-0.02	0.15	22	81%	0.19	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.03	-0.03	10	48%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	5	33%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.0	34.1	15.4	29.6	2.5	25.3	131.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.9%

POR -2.7%

GSW +13.5%

POR -0.7%

POR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	13.9	15.4	100.0	128.9	104.1
season	15.8	14.6		104.3	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.3	14.6	15.7	15.0	15.7
GSW	13.2	14.2	13.1	15.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nolan Smith	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-23	19	13.8	16.0	-2.18	15.7	13.6	2.16
Luke Babbitt	21	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	-18	9	14.4	16.0	-1.63	14.1	13.8	0.29
Victor Claver	28	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.25	-14	-13	-1	15.2	15.8	-0.63	14.2	13.7	0.54
Meyers Leonard	83	82	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.14	-11	-16	5	15.6	16.3	-0.71	14.2	11.8	2.44
Wesley Matthews	66	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-18	9	15.6	15.8	-0.22	13.8	14.0	-0.25
JJ Hickson	58	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-20	13	15.8	15.4	0.40	13.2	14.8	-1.64
Damian Lillard	65	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-19	11	15.8	15.5	0.31	13.7	14.2	-0.57
Nicolas Batum	78	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.07	-12	-15	3	15.8	15.3	0.46	13.5	15.2	-1.75
Joel Freeland	19	19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	-10	-7	16.4	15.5	0.94	14.8	13.6	1.15
Will Barton	23	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.22	-18	-9	-9	16.1	15.5	0.55	14.0	13.8	0.18
Eric Maynor	36	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.32	-26	-1	-25	16.5	15.2	1.32	13.6	14.0	-0.37

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	57	59	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.28	27	0	27	13.6	14.2	-0.65	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Carl Landry	47	48	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.25	24	3	21	13.6	14.1	-0.44	15.0	16.3	-1.34
Stephen Curry	76	79	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	12	3	13.7	14.4	-0.66	15.5	16.4	-0.87
Draymond Green	35	35	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.26	18	9	9	14.3	13.6	0.61	16.2	15.4	0.83
Klay Thompson	52	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.24	17	10	7	13.1	14.7	-1.58	16.3	14.8	1.49
Harrison Barnes	69	69	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	18	-9	14.3	12.8	1.52	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Festus Ezeli	28	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	16	-5	14.2	13.7	0.44	17.0	15.2	1.77
David Lee	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	19	-11	13.7	14.1	-0.38	16.2	15.1	1.01
Andrew Bogut	45	46	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	25	-23	13.5	14.2	-0.74	15.8	15.6	0.18
Richard Jefferson	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	25	-23	15.8	13.6	2.20	13.5	16.0	-2.47
Kent Bazemore	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	25	-23	15.8	13.6	2.20	13.5	16.0	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
IND 73, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 100, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%